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Dr Daniel Befort

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Sub department

  • Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics

Research groups

  • Predictability of weather and climate
daniel.befort@physics.ox.ac.uk
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About

I am a postdoctoral researcher working on the EU Horizon 2020 project EUCP: European Climate Prediction system. This project aims to develop an European climate prediction system based on global initialized decadal predictions, uninitialized climate projections and high-resolution regional climate model simulations.

My work within EUCP focuses on:

  • Development of methods to merge information from initialized predictions and uninitialized climate projections to obtain seamless information beyond decadal time scales
  • The quantification of the added value of initialized decadal predictions over uninitialized climate predictions
  • Assessing different methodologies to represent model uncertainties, including Multi-Model Ensembles and stochastic physics.

Besides, I am currently externally contracted by ECMWF to investigate high-frequency variability in reanalyses and seasonal forecasts.

Prior to working at the University of Oxford, I was employed at University of Birmingham (Postdoctoral Research Fellow) after undertaking my PhD at Freie University Berlin on the topic of the variability of the Indian Monsoon during the past 6000 years.

Research interests

Prediction/variability of tropical cyclones
Prediction/variability of extra-tropical cyclones
Indian and East Asian Monsoon systems
Seasonal forecasting
Decadal predictions

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