Assessing Robustness and Bias in 1D Retrievals of 3D Global Circulation Models at High Spectral Resolution: A WASP-76 b Simulation Case Study in Emission

The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 990:2 (2025) 106

Authors:

Lennart van Sluijs, Hayley Beltz, Isaac Malsky, Genevieve H Pereira, L Cinque, Emily Rauscher, Jayne Birkby

Abstract:

High-resolution spectroscopy (HRS) of exoplanet atmospheres has successfully detected many chemical species and is quickly moving toward detailed characterization of the chemical abundances and dynamics. HRS is highly sensitive to the line shape and position; thus, it can detect three-dimensional (3D) effects such as winds, rotation, and spatial variation of atmospheric conditions. At the same time, retrieval frameworks are increasingly deployed to constrain chemical abundances, pressure–temperature (P–T) structures, orbital parameters, and rotational broadening. To explore the multidimensional parameter space, we need computationally fast models, which are consequently mostly one-dimensional (1D). However, this approach risks introducing interpretation bias since the planet’s true nature is 3D. We investigate the robustness of this methodology at high spectral resolution by running 1D retrievals on simulated observations in emission within an observational framework using 3D global circulation models of the quintessential HJ WASP-76 b. We find that the retrieval broadly recovers conditions present in the atmosphere, but that the retrieved P–T and chemical profiles are not a homogeneous average of all spatial and phase-dependent information. Instead, they are most sensitive to spatial regions with large thermal gradients, which do not necessarily coincide with the strongest emitting regions. Our results further suggest that the choice of parameterization for the P–T and chemical profiles, as well as Doppler offsets among opacity sources, impact the retrieval results. These factors should be carefully considered in future retrieval analyses.

The Simons Observatory: science goals and forecasts for the enhanced Large Aperture Telescope

Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics IOP Publishing 2025:08 (2025) 034

Authors:

M Abitbol, I Abril-Cabezas, S Adachi, P Ade, AE Adler, P Agrawal, J Aguirre, Z Ahmed, S Aiola, T Alford, A Ali, David Alonso, MA Alvarez, R An, K Arnold, P Ashton, Z Atkins, J Austermann, Susanna Azzoni, C Baccigalupi, A Baleato Lizancos, D Barron, P Barry, J Bartlett, Michael Jones, Adrien La Posta, Jamie Leech, Angela C Taylor

Abstract:

We describe updated scientific goals for the wide-field, millimeter-wave survey that will be produced by the Simons Observatory (SO). Significant upgrades to the 6-meter SO Large Aperture Telescope (LAT) are expected to be complete by 2028, and will include a doubled mapping speed with 30,000 new detectors and an automated data reduction pipeline. In addition, a new photovoltaic array will supply most of the observatory's power. The LAT survey will cover about 60% of the sky at a regular observing cadence, with five times the angular resolution and ten times the map depth of the Planck satellite. The science goals are to: (1) determine the physical conditions in the early universe and constrain the existence of new light particles; (2) measure the integrated distribution of mass, electron pressure, and electron momentum in the late-time universe, and, in combination with optical surveys, determine the neutrino mass and the effects of dark energy via tomographic measurements of the growth of structure at redshifts z ≲ 3; (3) measure the distribution of electron density and pressure around galaxy groups and clusters, and calibrate the effects of energy input from galaxy formation on the surrounding environment; (4) produce a sample of more than 30,000 galaxy clusters, and more than 100,000 extragalactic millimeter sources, including regularly sampled AGN light-curves, to study these sources and their emission physics; (5) measure the polarized emission from magnetically aligned dust grains in our Galaxy, to study the properties of dust and the role of magnetic fields in star formation; (6) constrain asteroid regoliths, search for Trans-Neptunian Objects, and either detect or eliminate large portions of the phase space in the search for Planet 9; and (7) provide a powerful new window into the transient universe on time scales of minutes to years, concurrent with observations from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory of overlapping sky.

The revolution in strong lensing discoveries from Euclid

Nature Astronomy 9:8 (2025) 1116-1122

Authors:

Natalie EP Lines, Tian Li, Thomas E Collett, Philip Holloway, James W Nightingale, Karina Rojas, Aprajita Verma, Mike Walmsley

Abstract:

Strong gravitational lensing offers a powerful and direct probe of dark matter, galaxy evolution and cosmology, yet strong lenses are rare: only 1 in roughly 10,000 massive galaxies can lens a background source into multiple images. The European Space Agency’s Euclid telescope, with its unique combination of high-resolution imaging and wide-area sky coverage, is set to transform this field. In its first quick data release, covering just 0.45% of the full survey area, around 500 high-quality strong lens candidates have been identified using a synergy of machine learning, citizen science and expert visual inspection. This dataset includes exotic systems such as compound lenses and edge-on disk lenses, demonstrating Euclid’s capacity to probe the lens parameter space. The machine learning models developed to discover strong lenses in Euclid data are able to find lenses with high purity rates, confirming that the mission’s forecast of discovering over 100,000 strong lenses is achievable during its 6-year mission. This will increase the number of known strong lenses by two orders of magnitude, transforming the science that can be done with strong lensing.

Simulating Intermediate Black Hole Mass Measurements for a Sample of Galaxies with Nuclear Star Clusters Using ELT/HARMONI High Spatial Resolution Integral-field Stellar Kinematics

Astronomical Journal American Astronomical Society 170:2 (2025) 124

Authors:

Dieu D Nguyen, Michele Cappellari, Hai N Ngo, Tinh QT Le, Tuan N Le, Khue NH Ho, An K Nguyen, Phong T On, Huy G Tong, Niranjan Thatte, Miguel Pereira-Santaella

Abstract:

Understanding the demographics of intermediate-mass black holes (IMBHs, MBH ≈ 102–105 M⊙) in low-mass galaxies is key to constraining black hole seed formation models, but detecting them is challenging due to their small gravitational sphere of influence (SOI). The upcoming Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) High Angular Resolution Monolithic Optical and Near-infrared Integral Field Spectrograph (HARMONI) instrument, with its high angular resolution, offers a promising solution. We present simulations assessing HARMONI’s ability to measure IMBH masses in nuclear star clusters (NSCs) of nearby dwarf galaxies. We selected a sample of 44 candidates within 10 Mpc. For two representative targets, NGC 300 and NGC 3115 dw01, we generated mock HARMONI integral-field data cubes using realistic inputs derived from Hubble Space Telescope imaging, stellar population models, and Jeans anisotropic models (JAM), assuming IMBH masses up to 1% of the NSC mass. We simulated observations across six near-infrared gratings at 10 mas resolution. Analyzing the mock data with standard kinematic extraction and JAM models in a Bayesian framework, we demonstrate that HARMONI can resolve the IMBH SOI and accurately recover masses down to ≈0.5% of the NSC mass within feasible exposure times. These results highlight HARMONI’s potential to revolutionize IMBH studies.

Assessing robustness and bias in 1D retrievals of 3D Global Circulation Models at high spectral resolution: a WASP-76 b simulation case study in emission

(2025)

Authors:

Lennart van Sluijs, Hayley Beltz, Isaac Malsky, Genevieve H Pereira, L Cinque, Emily Rauscher, Jayne Birkby