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Professor Myles Allen CBE FRS

Statutory Professor

Research theme

  • Climate physics

Sub department

  • Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics
Myles.Allen@physics.ox.ac.uk
Telephone: 01865 (2)72085,01865 (2)75895
Atmospheric Physics Clarendon Laboratory, room 109
  • About
  • Publications

Transformations to regenerative food systems—An outline of the FixOurFood project

Nutrition Bulletin Wiley 47:1 (2022) 106-114

Authors:

Bob Doherty, Maria Bryant, Katherine Denby, Ioan Fazey, Sarah Bridle, Corinna Hawkes, Michelle Cain, Steven Banwart, Lisa Collins, Kate Pickett, Myles Allen, Peter Ball, Grace Gardner, Esther Carmen, Maddie Sinclair, Alana Kluczkovski, Ulrike Ehgartner, Belinda Morris, Anthonia James, Christopher Yap, Eugyen Suzanne, Annie Connolly
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Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emission targets

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Springer Nature 5:1 (2022) 5

Authors:

Myles R Allen, Glen P Peters, Keith P Shine, Christian Azar, Paul Balcombe, Olivier Boucher, Michelle Cain, Philippe Ciais, William Collins, Piers M Forster, Dave J Frame, Pierre Friedlingstein, Claire Fyson, Thomas Gasser, Bill Hare, Stuart Jenkins, Steven P Hamburg, Daniel JA Johansson, John Lynch, Adrian Macey, Johannes Morfeldt, Alexander Nauels, Ilissa Ocko, Michael Oppenheimer, Stephen W Pacala, Raymond Pierrehumbert, Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Carl F Schleussner, Drew Shindell, Ragnhild B Skeie, Stephen M Smith, Katsumasa Tanaka
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Carbon Storage Units and Carbon Storage Obligations: A Review of Policy Approaches

(2022)

Authors:

Paul Zakkour, Margriet Kuijper, Patrick Dixon, Stuart Haszeldine, Martin Towns, Myles Allen
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The meaning of net zero and how to get it right

Nature Climate Change Springer Nature 12:2021 (2021) 15-21

Authors:

Sam Fankhauser, Stephen M Smith, Myles Allen, Kaya Axelsson, Thomas Hale, Cameron Hepburn, J Michael Kendall, Radhika Khosla, Javier Lezaun, Eli Mitchell-Larson, Michael Obersteiner, Lavanya Rajamani, Rosalind Rickaby, Nathalie Seddon, Thom Wetzer

Abstract:

The concept of net-zero carbon emissions has emerged from physical climate science. However, it is operationalized through social, political and economic systems. We identify seven attributes of net zero, which are important to make it a successful framework for climate action. The seven attributes highlight the urgency of emission reductions, which need to be front-loaded, and of coverage of all emission sources, including currently difficult ones. The attributes emphasize the need for social and environmental integrity. This means carbon dioxide removals should be used cautiously and the use of carbon offsets should be regulated effectively. Net zero must be aligned with broader sustainable development objectives, which implies an equitable net-zero transition, socio-ecological sustainability and the pursuit of broad economic opportunities.
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Methane and the Paris Agreement temperature goals

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Royal Society 380:2215 (2021)

Authors:

Michelle Cain, Stuart Jenkins, Myles R Allen, John Lynch, David J Frame, Adrian H Macey, Glen P Peters

Abstract:

Meeting the Paris Agreement temperature goal necessitates limiting methane (CH4)-induced warming, in addition to achieving net-zero or (net-negative) carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. In our model, for the median 1.5°C scenario between 2020 and 2050, CH4 mitigation lowers temperatures by 0.1°C; CO2 increases it by 0.2°C. CO2 emissions continue increasing global mean temperature until net-zero emissions are reached, with potential for lowering temperatures with net-negative emissions. By contrast, reducing CH4 emissions starts to reverse CH4-induced warming within a few decades. These differences are hidden when framing climate mitigation using annual ‘CO2-equivalent’ emissions, including targets based on aggregated annual emission rates. We show how the different warming responses to CO2 and CH4 emissions can be accurately aggregated to estimate warming by using ‘warming-equivalent emissions', which provide a transparent and convenient method to inform policies and measures for mitigation, or demonstrate progress towards a temperature goal. The method presented (GWP*) uses well-established climate science concepts to relate GWP100 to temperature, as a simple proxy for a climate model. The use of warming-equivalent emissions for nationally determined contributions and long-term strategies would enhance the transparency of stocktakes of progress towards a long-term temperature goal, compared to the use of standard equivalence methods.
This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘Rising methane: is warming feeding warming? (part 2)’.
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