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Harrison Nicholls (he/him)

Visitor

Research theme

  • Astronomy and astrophysics

Sub department

  • Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics

Research groups

  • Planetary Climate Dynamics
harrison.nicholls@physics.ox.ac.uk
www.h-nicholls.space
  • About
  • Publications

Equifinality of Venus-like CO2 atmospheres

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) 548:4 (2026) stag823

Authors:

Tereza Constantinou, Oliver Shorttle, Harrison Nicholls

Abstract:

ABSTRACT While Earth locks much of its carbon in its crust as carbonates, Venus retains a comparable carbon inventory almost entirely in its atmosphere as CO$_2$. On Earth, the geological carbon cycle that has produced this vast crustal carbonate inventory is regulated by biology, liquid water, and plate tectonics, which together have stabilized climate over geological time-scales. Venus presently lacks all these processes. We test whether Venus’s massive CO$_2$ atmosphere is diagnostic of a specific evolutionary pathway by quantifying three routes: primary magma-ocean outgassing, secondary volcanic degassing in a stagnant-lid regime, and remobilization of crustal carbonates after climate destabilization. Using a coupled climate–weathering framework, we find that a past habitable Venus could have stored $\sim$20 bar of CO$_2$ as crustal carbonates. Following the transition to runaway conditions, crustal heating releases this reservoir over tens of Myr. In stagnant-lid secondary-degassing models with a MORB-like mantle, outgassing reaches only $\sim$25 bar CO$_2$, limited by progressive mantle volatile depletion. However, Venus-like inventories can be achieved through: (i) magmatic carbon enrichment, (ii) increased magmatic delivery to the surface (high extrusion or melt production), and (iii) the recycling of undegassed carbon back into the planet’s interior. Primary magma-ocean outgassing can generate $\gt 10^2$ bar CO$_2$, but the retained fraction after early escape remains uncertain. Ultimately, a Venus-like massive CO$_2$ atmosphere is an equifinal outcome and does not uniquely diagnose a temperate past.
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Onset of Habitable Conditions on the Hadean Earth Set by Feedback between Tides and Greenhouse Forcing

The Planetary Science Journal American Astronomical Society 7:4 (2026) 94-94

Authors:

Marijn R van Dijk, Harrison Nicholls, Tim Lichtenberg

Abstract:

Abstract In the aftermath of the Moon-forming giant impact, the Hadean Earth’s mantle and surface crystallized from a global magma ocean blanketed by a dense volatile-rich atmosphere. While prior studies have explored the thermal evolution of such early-Earth scenarios under idealized, oxidizing conditions, the potential feedback between tidal heating driven by Earth–Moon orbital forcing and variable redox scenarios have not yet been explored in detail. We investigate whether tidal heating could have prolonged this early magma ocean phase and supported quasi-steady state epochs of global radiative equilibrium: periods of thermal balance between outgoing radiation and interior heat flux. Using the PROTEUS simulation framework, we simulate Earth’s early evolution under a range of plausible tidal power densities, oxygen fugacities, and volatile inventories. Our results suggest that feedback between tidal heating and atmospheric forcing can induce substantial variation in magma ocean lifetimes, from ∼30 Myr up to ∼500 Myr, sensitive to interior redox conditions. Global radiative equilibrium epochs commonly arise across this range, lasting from ∼2 to ∼320 Myr, and typically occur from 24 Myr after the Moon-forming impact. Under oxidizing conditions, late-stage H 2 O degassing promotes melt retention and sustained heating due to its significant contribution to greenhouse forcing. Weak tides increase the atmospheric abundance of H 2 S and NH 3 and deplete CO. Therefore, the feedback between tides and atmospheric forcing induces a disequilibrium signature in the magma ocean atmosphere.
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Volatile-rich evolution of molten super-Earth L 98-59 d

Nature Astronomy Nature Research (2026)

Authors:

Harrison Nicholls, Tim Lichtenberg, Richard D Chatterjee, Claire Marie Guimond, Emma Postolec, Raymond T Pierrehumbert

Abstract:

Abstract Small, low-density exoplanets are sculpted by strong stellar irradiation, but their primordial compositions and subsequent evolution are still unknown. Two often-considered scenarios hold that they formed with rocky interiors and H 2 –He atmospheres (‘gas dwarfs’) or alternatively with bulk compositions dominated by H 2 O phases (‘water worlds’). Here we constrain the possible range of evolutionary histories linking the birth conditions of low-density super-Earth L 98-59 d to recent observations using a coupled atmosphere–interior evolutionary model. We find that the observations can be explained by in situ photochemical production of SO 2 in an H 2 background, indicative of a chemically reducing mantle and substantial (>1.8 mass%) early sulfur and hydrogen content, inconsistent with both the gas-dwarf and water-world scenarios. L 98-59 d’s interior comprises a permanent magma ocean, allowing long-term retention of volatiles within its mantle over billions of years, consistent with California-Kepler Survey trends. Our analysis reveals an evolutionary pathway in which planets host volatile-rich atmospheres sustained by long-term magma-ocean degassing, shaped by secular cooling, atmospheric erosion and photochemistry. Internal and environmental processes contribute to the observed diversity of super-Earth and sub-Neptune exoplanets.
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Mantle Convection and Nightside Volcanism on Lava World K2-141 b

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) (2026) stag390

Authors:

Tobias G Meier, Claire Marie Guimond, Raymond T Pierrehumbert, Jayne Birkby, Richard D Chatterjee, Chloe E Fisher, Gregor J Golabek, Mark Hammond, Thaddeus D Komacek, Tim Lichtenberg, Alex McGinty, Erik Meier Valdés, Harrison Nicholls, Luke T Parker, Rob J Spaargaren, Paul J Tackley

Abstract:

Abstract Ultra-short period lava worlds offer a unique window into the coupled evolution of planetary interior and atmospheres under extreme irradiation. In this study, we investigate the mantle dynamics, nightside volcanism, and volatile outgassing on lava world K2-141 b (1.54 R⊕, 5.31 M⊕) using two-dimensional convection models with tracer-based volatile tracking. Our simulations explore a range of interior configurations, including models with and without plastic yielding, basal versus mixed heating, core cooling, and melt intrusion. In models without plastic yielding (i.e. with a strong lithosphere), we find that mantle upwellings form at the substellar and antistellar points, while downwellings form near the day-night terminators at the boundary between the magma ocean and cold, solid nightside. These downwellings facilitate the recycling of crustal material, representing a form of asymmetric, single-lid tectonics. The resulting magma ocean thickness varies from 200 to 300 km depending on the model parameters, corresponding to about 2-3 % of the planet’s radius. Continuous nightside volcanism produces a basaltic crust and gradually depletes the mantle of volatiles. We find that over a billion years, volcanic eruptions can outgas tens of bars of CO2 and H2O. We show that even relatively large volcanic eruptions on the nightside produce thermal emission signals of no more than 1 ppm, remaining below the current detectability threshold in thermal phase curves. However, for most models, outgassing rates are increased near the day-night terminators and future studies should assess whether such localised outgassing could lead to atmospheric signatures in transmission spectroscopy.
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Self-limited tidal heating and prolonged magma oceans in the L 98-59 system

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press 541:3 (2025) 2566-2584

Authors:

Harrison Nicholls, Claire Marie Guimond, Hamish CFC Hay, Richard D Chatterjee, Tim Lichtenberg, Raymond T Pierrehumbert

Abstract:

Rocky exoplanets accessible to characterization often lie on close-in orbits where tidal heating within their interiors is significant, with the L 98-59 planetary system being a prime example. As a long-term energy source for ongoing mantle melting and outgassing, tidal heating has been considered as a way to replenish lost atmospheres on rocky planets around active M-dwarfs. We simulate the early evolution of L 98-59 b, c, and d using a time-evolved interior-atmosphere modelling framework, with a self-consistent implementation of tidal heating and redox-controlled outgassing. Emerging from our calculations is a novel self-limiting mechanism between radiative cooling, tidal heating, and mantle rheology, which we term the ‘radiation-tide-rheology feedback’. Our coupled modelling yields self-limiting tidal heating estimates that are up to two orders of magnitude lower than previous calculations, and yet are still large enough to enable the extension of primordial magma oceans to Gyr time-scales. Comparisons with a semi-analytic model demonstrate that this negative feedback is a robust mechanism which can probe a given planet’s initial conditions, atmospheric composition, and interior structure. The orbit and instellation of the sub-Venus L 98-59 b likely place it in a regime where tidal heating has kept the planet molten up to the present day, even if it were to have lost its atmosphere. For c and d, a long-lived magma ocean can be induced by tides only with additional atmospheric regulation of energy transport.
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