Bence Kocsis

Abstract:

Supermassive black hole (SMBH) binary systems are an unavoidable outcome of galaxy mergers. Their dynamics encode valuable information about their formation and growth, the composition of their host galactic nuclei, the evolution of galaxies, and the nature of gravity. Many SMBH binaries with separations pc-kpc have been found, but closer (subparsec) binaries remain to be confirmed. Identifying these systems may elucidate how binaries evolve past the “final parsec” until gravitational radiation drives them to coalescence. Methods to discover and characterize SMBH binaries can shed light on these important questions and potentially open new multimessenger channels. Here we show that SMBH binaries in nonactive galactic nuclei can be identified and characterized by the gravitational lensing of individual bright stars, located behind them in the host galaxy. The rotation of “caustics”—regions where sources are hugely magnified due to the SMBH binary’s orbit and inspiral—leads to quasiperiodic lensing of starlight (QPLS). The extreme lensing magnification of individual bright stars produces a significant variation in the host galaxies’ luminosity; their lightcurve traces the orbit of the SMBH binary and its evolution, analogous to the waveforms recorded by gravitational-wave (GW) detectors. QPLS probes the population of sources observable by pulsar timing arrays and space detectors (LISA, TianQin), offering advance warning triggers for merging SMBHs for coincident or follow-up GW detections. SMBH population models predict 1–50 $[190–5000](n_{\star }/{\mathrm{pc}}^{-3})$ QPLS binaries with period less than 10[40] yr with comparable masses and redshift $z<0.3$ , where $n_{\star }$ is the stellar number density. Additionally, stellar and orbital motion will lead to frequent instances of single or double flares caused by SMBHBs with longer periods. This novel signature can be searched for in a wealth of existing and upcoming time-domain photometric data: identifying quasiperiodic variability in galactic lightcurves will reveal an ensemble of binary systems and illuminate outstanding questions around them.