Planetary Climate Dynamics

Abstract:

Whether a planet's volcanic gas is oxidising or reducing is inherited from redox conditions in the planet's mantle. It is often presumed that reactions between iron species control mantle oxygen fugacity. However, iron alone need not be the sole dictator of how oxidising the interior of a planet is. Carbon is a powerful redox element, with great potential to feed back upon the mantle redox state as it melts. Despite Earth being carbon-poor, it has been proposed that the oxygen fugacity of Earth's upper mantle is in part controlled by carbon (Holloway et al., 1992; Stagno et al., 2013); a slightly-higher volatile endowment could make carbon-powered geochemistry inescapable. Indeed, a number of known rocky exoplanets are predicted to have formed with carbon contents greater than Earth (Bergin et al., 2023). We offer a framework for how carbon is transported from solid planetary interior to atmosphere, tracking redox couplings between carbon and iron. We also incorporate a coupled 1D energy- and mass-balance model to provide first-order predictions of the rate of volcanism. We show that carbon-iron redox coupling would maintain interior oxygen fugacity in a narrow range: more reducing than Earth magma, but not reducing enough to prevent CO2 outgassing entirely.Bergin, E. A., Kempton, E. M.-R., Hirschmann, M., Bastelberger, S. T., Teal, D. J., Blake, G. A., Ciesla, F. J., & Li, J. (2023). Exoplanet Volatile Carbon Content as a Natural Pathway for Haze Formation. The Astrophysical Journal, 949, L17. Holloway, J. R., Pan, V., & Gudmundsson, G. (1992). High-pressure fluid-absent melting experiments in the presence of graphite: Oxygen fugacity, ferric/ferrous ratio and dissolved CO2. European Journal of Mineralogy, 4(1), 105–114. Stagno, V., Ojwang, D. O., McCammon, C. A., & Frost, D. J. (2013). The oxidation state of the mantle and the extraction of carbon from Earth’s interior. Nature, 493(7430).

Abstract:

Context. Close-in warm Jupiters orbiting M dwarf stars are expected to exhibit diverse atmospheric chemistry, with clouds playing a key role in shaping their albedo, heat distribution, and spectral properties. Aims. We study WASP-80b, a warm Jupiter orbiting an M dwarf star, using the latest JWST panchromatic emission and transmission spectra to comprehensively characterise its atmosphere, including cloud coverage, chemical composition, and particle sizes, and compare the observations with predictions from the general circulation models (GCMs). Methods. We used a GCM, ADAM (ADvanced Atmospheric MITgcm, formerly known as SPARC/MITgcm), combined with the latest JWST data to study the atmosphere of WASP-80b. A cloud module with radiatively active, tracer-based clouds was integrated with the GCM to study the effects on the atmosphere and the spectrum. Results. We find that the emission and transmission spectra of WASP-80b are only compatible with cloudless atmospheres or with clouds composed of sufficiently large particles, namely Na2S (≥10 μm), KCl (≥1 μm), and MgSiO3 (≥5 μm). For these large-particle cloud cases, efficient gravitational settling confines the clouds to deeper atmospheric layers, resulting in weak spectral signatures. Smaller particles are ruled out due to their strong radiative feedback on the atmospheric structure. Conclusions. Overall, our results suggest that WASP-80b’s atmosphere is either effectively cloud-free or contains clouds composed of large, settled particles whose opacity has little impact on the observable atmosphere. This underscores the importance of particle size and vertical cloud distribution in interpreting exoplanet spectra. Future observations at shorter wavelengths may help distinguish between large-particle cloud scenarios and a truly cloudless atmosphere.

Abstract:

Abstract Ultra-short period lava worlds offer a unique window into the coupled evolution of planetary interior and atmospheres under extreme irradiation. In this study, we investigate the mantle dynamics, nightside volcanism, and volatile outgassing on lava world K2-141 b (1.54 R⊕, 5.31 M⊕) using two-dimensional convection models with tracer-based volatile tracking. Our simulations explore a range of interior configurations, including models with and without plastic yielding, basal versus mixed heating, core cooling, and melt intrusion. In models without plastic yielding (i.e. with a strong lithosphere), we find that mantle upwellings form at the substellar and antistellar points, while downwellings form near the day-night terminators at the boundary between the magma ocean and cold, solid nightside. These downwellings facilitate the recycling of crustal material, representing a form of asymmetric, single-lid tectonics. The resulting magma ocean thickness varies from 200 to 300 km depending on the model parameters, corresponding to about 2-3 % of the planet’s radius. Continuous nightside volcanism produces a basaltic crust and gradually depletes the mantle of volatiles. We find that over a billion years, volcanic eruptions can outgas tens of bars of CO2 and H2O. We show that even relatively large volcanic eruptions on the nightside produce thermal emission signals of no more than 1 ppm, remaining below the current detectability threshold in thermal phase curves. However, for most models, outgassing rates are increased near the day-night terminators and future studies should assess whether such localised outgassing could lead to atmospheric signatures in transmission spectroscopy.

Abstract:

Plain Language Summary: In hot and wet “hothouse” climate conditions, rainfall transitions from a pattern that fluctuates from about a mean of 3 mm day − 1 ${\text{day}}^{-1}$ to more intense outbursts that are separated by multi‐day dry spells. Previous studies on hothouse climates did not consider the role of the diurnal cycle even though it strongly controls precipitation in Earth's current climate. This study uses radiative‐convective equilibrium simulations to investigate the impact of rising temperatures on the transition to hothouse conditions, incorporating the diurnal cycle with both swamp‐like and open ocean surface conditions. We find that episodic precipitation occurs at surface temperatures above 322 K even when accounting for the diurnal cycle. However, the diurnal cycle significantly influences the timing of convection and rainfall at high temperatures with precipitation primarily starting late at night or in the early morning.

Abstract:

Recent James Webb Space Telescope observations of cool, rocky exoplanets reveal a probable lack of thick atmospheres, suggesting the prevalent escape of the “secondary” atmospheres formed after losing primordial hydrogen. Yet, simulations indicate that the hydrodynamic escape of secondary atmospheres, composed of nitrogen and carbon dioxide, requires intense fluxes of ionizing radiation (X-ray and extreme ultraviolet (XUV)) to overcome the effects of high molecular weight and efficient line cooling. This transonic outflow of hot, ionized metals (not hydrogen) presents a novel astrophysical regime ripe for exploration. We introduce an analytic framework to determine which planets retain or lose their atmospheres, positioning them on either side of the cosmic shoreline. We model the radial structure of escaping atmospheres as polytropic expansions—power-law relationships between density and temperature driven by local XUV heating. Our approach diagnoses line cooling with a three-level atom model and incorporates how ion–electron interactions reduce the mean molecular weight. Crucially, hydrodynamic escape onsets for a threshold XUV flux depend upon the atmosphere’s gravitational binding. The ensuing escape rates either scale linearly with XUV flux when weakly ionized (energy limited) or are controlled by a collisional–radiative thermostat when strongly ionized. Thus, airlessness is determined by whether the XUV flux surpasses the critical threshold during the star’s active periods, accounting for expendable primordial hydrogen and revival by volcanism. We explore atmospheric escape from the young Sun Mars and Earth, LHS 1140 b and c, and TRAPPIST-1 b. Our modeling characterizes the bottleneck of atmospheric loss on the occurrence of observable Earth-like habitats and offers analytic tools for future studies.