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Dr Muhammad Adnan Abid

Postdoctoral Research Assistant

Research theme

  • Climate physics

Sub department

  • Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics

Research groups

  • Predictability of weather and climate
adnan.abid@physics.ox.ac.uk
Robert Hooke Building, room S38
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  • About
  • Publications

About

My research focuses on climate variability and predictability at different time scales, with a focus on inter-basin interactions and teleconnections from the tropical oceans to the extratropical regions. I investigate the role of air-sea interactions in climate predictions across different timescales using models. My work highlights the importance of inter-basin interactions in understanding the El Southern-Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections across different regions including North Atlantic and Europe.  

I briefly contributed to the ITHACA project. Since October 2023, I have been involved in the ASPECT project. ASPECT focuses on advancing climate prediction across seasonal, multiyear, and decadal timescales. The overarching goal is to develop a unified and seamless climate information system across different timescales to support sectoral decision-making. The focus of the project is the European region, where the aim is to tailor climate prediction information, particularly for extreme weather events, to meet the specific needs and requirements of end users.  ASPECT also maintains strong links with the WCRP Lighthouse Activities, contributing to the broader effort to improve our understanding and prediction of changes in the Earth system

Research interests

Seamless Forecast
Climate Dynamics
Earth System Modelling
Inter-basin Interactions
Climate Attribution
Climate Adaptation

Selected publications

Bridging multi-annual to seasonal forecasts to develop seamless information for climate extremes: frost risk application

npj Natural Hazards Springer Science and Business Media LLC (2026)
Muhammad Adnan Abid, Beena Balan Sarojini, Antje Weisheimer

CO 2 -induced climate change assessment for the extreme 2022 Pakistan rainfall using seasonal forecasts

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Nature Research 8:1 (2025) 262
Antje Weisheimer, Tim N Palmer, Nicholas J Leach, Myles R Allen, Christopher D Roberts, Muhammad Adnan Abid

Predictability of Indian Ocean precipitation and its North Atlantic teleconnections during early winter

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Springer Nature 6:1 (2023) 17
Muhammad Adnan Abid, Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni, Mansour Almazroui

The combined link of the Indian Ocean dipole and ENSO with the North Atlantic-European circulation during early boreal winter in reanalysis and the ECMWF-SEAS5 hindcast

Journal of Climate American Meteorological Society 38:2 (2024) 445-460
Alessandro Raganato, Muhammad Adnan Abid, Fred Kucharski
See all publications

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