Predictability of weather and climate: from theory to practice
Chapter in Predictability of Weather and Climate, Cambridge University Press (CUP) (2006) 1-29
Erratum: "Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming" (Geophysical Research Letters (2005) vol. 32 10.1029/2005GL023365)
Geophysical Research Letters 33:7 (2006)
Predictability of weather and climate
, 2006
Abstract:
The topic of predictability of weather and climate has advanced significantly over recent years, both through an increased understanding of the phenomena that affect predictability, and through development of techniques used to forecast state-dependent predictability. This book brings together some of the world’s leading experts on predictability of weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean–atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-quality chapter authors and extensive subject coverage will make it appeal to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 33:7 (2006) ARTN L07708
Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles
NATURE 439:7076 (2006) 576-579