Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate
REPORTS ON PROGRESS IN PHYSICS 63:2 (2000) 71-116
Seasonal skill and predictability of ECMWF PROVOST ensembles
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 126:567 (2000) 2035-2067
The effect of land-surface feedbacks on the monsoon circulation
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Wiley 125:557 (1999) 1527-1550
3D-Var Hessian singular vectors and their potential use in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 125:558 (1999) 2333-2351
A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 12:2 (1999) 575-591