THE SENSITIVITY OF THE ECMWF MODEL TO THE PARAMETERIZATION OF EVAPORATION FROM THE TROPICAL OCEANS
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 5:5 (1992) 418-434
A real-time scheme for the prediction of forecast skill
Monthly Weather Review 119:4 (1991) 1088-1097
Abstract:
During the winter of 1988/89, a real-time experimental scheme to predict skill of the ECMWF operational forecast was devised. The scheme was based on statistical relations between skill scores (the predictands) and a number of predictors including consistency between consecutive forecasts, amplitude of very short-range forecast errors, and indices of large-scale regime transitions. The results of the experiment are assessed with particular attention to a period with large variations in the skill of the operational forecast. -AuthorsExtratropical response to SST anomalies and the barotropic model
Climate-ocean interaction. Proc. workshop, Oxford, 1988 (1990) 225-232
Abstract:
Recent GCM integrations with El Nino sea surface temperature anomalies are reviewed, and the question of whether the extratropical response can be explained in terms of simple barotropic model dynamics is examined. -AuthorRegimes in the wintertime circulation over northern extratropics. I: Observational evidence
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 116:491 (1990) 31-67