The importance of vertical velocity variability for estimates of the indirect aerosol effects
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (2013) 6369-6393
Abstract:
This study uses the UK Chemistry and Aerosols community model (UKCA) within the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model (HadGEM3), coupled for the first time to an explicit aerosol activation parameterisation, and hence known as UKCA-Activate. We explore the range of uncertainty in estimates of the indirect aerosol effects attributable to the choice of parameterisation of the subgrid-scale variability of vertical velocity in HadGEM-UKCA. Results of simulations demonstrate that the use of a characteristic vertical velocity cannot replicate results derived with a distribution of vertical velocities, and is to be discouraged in GCMs. This study focuses on the effect of the variance (σw2) of a Gaussian pdf (probability density function) of vertical velocity. Fixed values of σw (spanning the range measured in situ by nine flight campaigns found in the literature) and a configuration in which σw depends on turbulent kinetic energy are tested. Results from the mid-range fixed σw and TKE-based configurations both compare well with observed vertical velocity distributions and cloud droplet number concentrations. The radiative flux perturbation due to the total effects of anthropogenic aerosol is estimated at −1.9 W m−2 with σw = 0.1 m s−1, −2.1 W m−2 with σw derived from TKE, −2.25 W m−2 with σw = 0.4 m s−1, and −2.3 W m−2 with σw = 0.7 m s−1. The breadth of this range is 0.4 W m−2, which is comparable to a substantial fraction of the total diversity of current aerosol forcing estimates. Reducing the uncertainty in the parameterisation of σw would therefore be an important step towards reducing the uncertainty in estimates of the indirect aerosol effects. Detailed examination of regional radiative flux perturbations reveals that aerosol microphysics can be responsible for some climate-relevant radiative effects, highlighting the importance of including microphysical aerosol processes in GCMs.Constraints on aerosol processes in climate models from vertically-resolved aircraft observations of black carbon
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Copernicus GmbH 13:12 (2013) 5969-5986
Abstract:
New approaches to quantifying the magnitude and causes of uncertainty in global aerosol models
AIP Conference Proceedings AIP Publishing 1527:1 (2013) 641-646
The contribution of extratropical cyclones to observed cloud–aerosol relationships
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions European Geosciences Union 13 (2013) 11971-11995
Abstract:
Meteorological covariation may drive relationships between aerosol and cloud-related properties. It is important to account for the meteorological contribution to observed cloud–aerosol relationships in order to improve understanding of aerosol–cloud–climate interactions. A new method of investigating the contribution of meteorological covariation to observed cloud–aerosol relationships is introduced. Other studies have investigated the contribution of local meteorology to cloud–aerosol relationships. In this paper, a complimentary large-scale view is presented. Extratropical cyclones have been previously shown to affect satellite-retrieved aerosol optical depth (τ), due to en- hanced emission of sea salt and sea surface brightness artefacts in regions of higher wind speed. Extratropical cyclones have also been shown to affect cloud-related properties such as cloud fraction (fc) and cloud top temperature (Ttop). Therefore, it seems plausible to hypothesise that extratropical cyclones may drive relationships between cloud-related properties and τ. In this paper, a description of extratropical cyclones, based on the relative vorticity of the storm and position in the storm domain, is used to analyse MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) retrieved τ, fc and Ttop data. This storm-centric description is capable of explaining fc–τrelationships, although the relationships explained represent only a small component of the relationships observed in the MODIS data. This storm-centric approach produces no statistically robust explanation for Ttop–τ relationships, suggesting that large-scale synoptic conditions in the mid-latitudes do not drive Ttop–τ relationships. The primary causes for observed cloud–aerosol relationships are likely to be other factors such as retrieval errors, local meteorology or aerosol–cloud interactions.Host model uncertainties in aerosol radiative forcing estimates: results from the AeroCom Prescribed intercomparison study
ACP Copernicus Publications 13:6 (2013) 3245-3270