Planetary Climate Dynamics

Abstract:

One of the long-term goals of exoplanet science is the atmospheric characterization of dozens of small exoplanets in order to understand their diversity and search for habitable worlds and potential biosignatures. Achieving this goal requires a space mission of sufficient scale. We seek to quantify the exoplanet detection performance of a space-based mid-infrared nulling interferometer that measures the thermal emission of exoplanets. For this, we have developed an instrument simulator that considers all major astrophysical noise sources and coupled it with Monte Carlo simulations of a synthetic exoplanet population around main-sequence stars within 20 pc. This allows us to quantify the number (and types) of exoplanets that our mission concept could detect over a certain time period. Two different scenarios to distribute the observing time among the stellar targets are discussed and different apertures sizes and wavelength ranges are considered. Within a 2.5-year initial search phase, an interferometer consisting of four 2 m apertures covering a wavelength range between 4 and 18.5 $\mu$m could detect up to ~550 exoplanets with radii between 0.5 and 6 R$_\oplus$ with an integrated SNR$\ge$7. At least ~160 of the detected exoplanets have radii $\le$1.5 R$_\oplus$. Depending on the observing scenario, ~25-45 rocky exoplanets (objects with radii between 0.5 and 1.5 $_{\oplus}$) orbiting within the empirical habitable zone (eHZ) of their host stars are among the detections. With four times 3.5 m aperture size, the total number of detections can increase to up to ~770, including ~60-80 rocky, eHZ planets. With four times 1 m aperture size, the maximum detection yield is ~315 exoplanets, including $\le$20 rocky, eHZ planets. In terms of predicted detection yield, such a mission can compete with large single-aperture reflected light missions. (abridged)

Abstract:

Sub-Neptunes are a subset of exoplanets that lie between the Earth and Neptune in size, have no solar system analogue and yet are one of the most common types of exoplanet in the galaxy. Some sub-Neptunes receive a similar level of stellar flux as Earth, making their atmospheres potentially cool enough to contain liquid water. The aim of this thesis is to simulate the atmospheres of these temperate sub-Neptunes and develop theories describing their atmospheric dynamics and potential habitability. I use a general circulation model to simulate the atmospheres of a range of dry, temperate sub-Neptunes. I show that their atmospheres are governed by horizontal weak temperature gradients over a broad range of parameter space. Their circulation is dominated by high-latitude jets, but heat is transported from the dayside to the nightside by a residual overturning circulation. I derive a scaling theory to link the strength of this circulation to the instellation. Next, I calculate the inner edge of the habitable zone for sub-Neptunes with a water surface – “Hycean worlds”. Using a 1D radiative-convective model, I show that compositional gradients induced by the condensation of water inhibit convection in a hydrogendominated atmosphere. The resulting temperature structures heat the surface and lead to the inner edge of the habitable zone moving outwards compared to traditional calculations. Lastly, I develop a general circulation model for use in hydrogen-dominated atmospheres with a non-dilute water vapour component. I demonstrate the model’s ability to simulate a range of sub-Neptune atmospheres with different deep water contents reaching as high as 70% of the atmosphere by mass. Future work can build on this model to understand how latent heating and compositional gradients impact the observable features and habitability of sub-Neptune exoplanets.