Equifinality of Venus-like CO2 atmospheres

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) 548:4 (2026) stag823

Authors:

Tereza Constantinou, Oliver Shorttle, Harrison Nicholls

Abstract:

ABSTRACT While Earth locks much of its carbon in its crust as carbonates, Venus retains a comparable carbon inventory almost entirely in its atmosphere as CO$_2$. On Earth, the geological carbon cycle that has produced this vast crustal carbonate inventory is regulated by biology, liquid water, and plate tectonics, which together have stabilized climate over geological time-scales. Venus presently lacks all these processes. We test whether Venus’s massive CO$_2$ atmosphere is diagnostic of a specific evolutionary pathway by quantifying three routes: primary magma-ocean outgassing, secondary volcanic degassing in a stagnant-lid regime, and remobilization of crustal carbonates after climate destabilization. Using a coupled climate–weathering framework, we find that a past habitable Venus could have stored $\sim$20 bar of CO$_2$ as crustal carbonates. Following the transition to runaway conditions, crustal heating releases this reservoir over tens of Myr. In stagnant-lid secondary-degassing models with a MORB-like mantle, outgassing reaches only $\sim$25 bar CO$_2$, limited by progressive mantle volatile depletion. However, Venus-like inventories can be achieved through: (i) magmatic carbon enrichment, (ii) increased magmatic delivery to the surface (high extrusion or melt production), and (iii) the recycling of undegassed carbon back into the planet’s interior. Primary magma-ocean outgassing can generate $\gt 10^2$ bar CO$_2$, but the retained fraction after early escape remains uncertain. Ultimately, a Venus-like massive CO$_2$ atmosphere is an equifinal outcome and does not uniquely diagnose a temperate past.

Mid‐Infrared Compositional Spectral Parameters for the Lunar Thermal Mapper Instrument Onboard Lunar Trailblazer

Earth and Space Science 13:5 (2026)

Authors:

Katherine A Shirley, Kerri L Donaldson Hanna, Neil E Bowles, Namrah Habib, Nicholas Elkington, Rory Evans, Christopher S Edwards, Tristram Warren, Fiona Henderson, Christopher Haberle, Rachel L Klima, Bethany L Ehlmann

Abstract:

The Lunar Trailblazer mission launched in February of 2025 with the goal of characterizing lunar surface water through a targeted campaign. One instrument on the mission, the Lunar Thermal Mapper (LTM), was tasked with measuring the surface temperature to compare with maps of the form and abundance of water on the lunar surface. LTM's secondary science goals were to identify regolith composition and thermophysical properties as exhibited by mid‐infrared spectral features. Here we show the utility of LTM in distinguishing lunar regolith composition with its 11 narrow bands. Five spectral parameter products were developed to aid in early identification of regions of interest for follow‐on spectral analyses. These products include the Christiansen feature (CF) value, weighted absorption center (WAC) value, WAC band depth, Transparency Roll‐off, and a Diviner CF value equivalent. These products would be used mainly to flag these regions for more detailed follow‐up study with the entire spectral capabilities of the mission instrumentation. The Lunar Thermal Mapper (LTM) is one of two instruments on the Lunar Trailblazer mission launched in February 2025. LTM's primary goal is to provide surface temperature measurements for the lunar surface, in particular for identifying and mapping water on the Moon. LTM is also capable of identifying the compositional and physical properties of different rocks on the surface. Here, we test those capabilities and determine five methods for quickly distinguishing bulk properties of the lunar rocks that can be used by the community to identify regions of interest for further investigation. Mid‐infrared compositional parameters were created and tested for the Lunar Trailblazer mission Spectral parameters can distinguish bulk silicate mineralogy, and identify regions of compositional interest The Christiansen feature roll‐off parameter can provide an initial identification of areas with distinct thermophysical properties Mid‐infrared compositional parameters were created and tested for the Lunar Trailblazer mission Spectral parameters can distinguish bulk silicate mineralogy, and identify regions of compositional interest The Christiansen feature roll‐off parameter can provide an initial identification of areas with distinct thermophysical properties

The Lunar Trailblazer Lunar Thermal Mapper Instrument

Journal of Geophysical Research Planets American Geophysical Union (AGU) 131:5 (2026)

Authors:

Neil E Bowles, Bethany L Ehlmann, Rory Evans, Tristram J Warren, Henry H Eshbaugh, Greg King, Waqas Mir, Namrah Habib, Katherine Shirley, Fraser Clarke, Cyril Bourgenot, Chris Howe, Keith Nowicki, Fiona HM Henderson, Christopher S Edwards, Rachel L Klima, Kerri Donaldson Hanna, Calina C Seybold, Andrew T Klesh, David R Thompson, Elise Furlan, Elena Scire, Judy S Adler, Nicholas Elkington, Aria Vitkova, Jon Temple, Simon Woodward

Abstract:

Abstract The Lunar Thermal Mapper (LTM) instrument is a UK Space Agency funded infrared radiometer designed and built for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Lunar Trailblazer mission launched in February 2025. LTM is a pushbroom imaging filter radiometer with 15 channels that cover the wavelength range from 6.25 to 100 μm with a 40–70 m/pixel ground sampling. Lunar Trailblazer's mission is to understand the form, abundance and distribution of water across the lunar surface. LTM provides an independent measure of temperature to investigate thermal effects on water's mapped distribution as well as an independent measure of surface mineralogy. The LTM instrument's 15 infrared channels include four broadband temperature sensing channels (6.25–12.5, 12.5–25, 25–50 and 50–100 μm) plus 11 additional narrow band (∼40 cm −1 ) filters from ∼7–10 μm to map and discriminate silicate composition. We review the LTM design and calibration campaign at the University of Oxford's Space Instrumentation facility and show that the instrument has sensitivity from 400 K with a Noise Equivalent Temperature Difference of <0.1 K to <1 K at 110 K for typical integration times (e.g., 30 Hz readout) from a nominal 70–130 km lunar orbit design altitude. Plain Language Summary This paper describes the Lunar Thermal Mapper instrument for NASA's Lunar Trailblazer mission. Lunar Thermal Mapper is a thermal imaging system designed to sense the temperature and composition of the lunar surface using the thermal infrared. By sensing the temperature environment of the Moon, Lunar Thermal Mapper supports the Trailblazer's mission to map water on the lunar surface. Key Points The Lunar Thermal Mapper (LTM) instrument will measure thermal infrared radiation from the Moon across from 400 K to <110 K The LTM instrument completed assembly, testing, calibration and integration on the Lunar Trailblazer spacecraft The LTM instrument demonstrated sensitives of <0.1 K at 400 K and <1 K at 110 K during ground testing and calibration

Horizontal transport as a source of disequilibrium chemistry on the nightside of a hot exoplanet

Nature Astronomy Springer Nature (2026) 1-9

Authors:

Vivien Parmentier, Kevin B Stevenson, Luis Welbanks, Jake Taylor, Everett Schlawin, Louis-Philippe Coulombe, Yao Tang, Mike Line, Hinna Shivkumar, Xianyu Tan, Jacob L Bean, Jean-Michel Désert, Jonathan J Fortney, Peter Gao, Mark Hammond, Eliza M-R Kempton, Thaddeus D Komacek, Megan Weiner Mansfield

Abstract:

Hot Jupiters have temperature gradients of several hundreds of degrees between their permanent daysides and nightsides. Such a strong gradient creates winds with speeds of the order of kilometres per second, which advect chemical species over the whole planet. When this transport is faster than the time needed for chemical species to react, it holds back the chemical equilibration of the atmospheric carbon reservoir, which would otherwise transition from CO on the dayside to CH4 on the nightside. Direct evidence of this process has remained elusive so far, as it is often degenerate with other atmospheric processes, such as vertical mixing or non-stellar elemental abundances. Here we present observational evidence for such a fast day-to-night horizontal transport of chemical species by observing the full 18-h orbit of the exoplanet NGTS-10A b with the JWST/NIRSpec instrument. We show that the carbon chemistry is dominated by CO in both the dayside and the nightside of the planet, with a strong depletion of CH4 on the nightside compared with expectations from chemical equilibrium. By measuring the atmospheric abundances of all the main carbon and oxygen molecules, we further demonstrate that the lack of CH4 on the planetary nightside cannot be attributed to non-solar elemental abundances or to vertical mixing mechanisms and must, therefore, be due to fast horizontal transport. Our study shows the fundamental role that atmospheric transport plays in shaping the distribution of chemical species on exoplanet atmospheres.

Onset of Habitable Conditions on the Hadean Earth Set by Feedback between Tides and Greenhouse Forcing

The Planetary Science Journal American Astronomical Society 7:4 (2026) 94-94

Authors:

Marijn R van Dijk, Harrison Nicholls, Tim Lichtenberg

Abstract:

Abstract In the aftermath of the Moon-forming giant impact, the Hadean Earth’s mantle and surface crystallized from a global magma ocean blanketed by a dense volatile-rich atmosphere. While prior studies have explored the thermal evolution of such early-Earth scenarios under idealized, oxidizing conditions, the potential feedback between tidal heating driven by Earth–Moon orbital forcing and variable redox scenarios have not yet been explored in detail. We investigate whether tidal heating could have prolonged this early magma ocean phase and supported quasi-steady state epochs of global radiative equilibrium: periods of thermal balance between outgoing radiation and interior heat flux. Using the PROTEUS simulation framework, we simulate Earth’s early evolution under a range of plausible tidal power densities, oxygen fugacities, and volatile inventories. Our results suggest that feedback between tidal heating and atmospheric forcing can induce substantial variation in magma ocean lifetimes, from ∼30 Myr up to ∼500 Myr, sensitive to interior redox conditions. Global radiative equilibrium epochs commonly arise across this range, lasting from ∼2 to ∼320 Myr, and typically occur from 24 Myr after the Moon-forming impact. Under oxidizing conditions, late-stage H 2 O degassing promotes melt retention and sustained heating due to its significant contribution to greenhouse forcing. Weak tides increase the atmospheric abundance of H 2 S and NH 3 and deplete CO. Therefore, the feedback between tides and atmospheric forcing induces a disequilibrium signature in the magma ocean atmosphere.