Rubin-LSST

Abstract:

Upcoming imaging surveys will allow for high signal-to-noise measurements of galaxy clustering at small scales. In this work, we present the results of the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) bias challenge, the goal of which is to compare the performance of different nonlinear galaxy bias models in the context of LSST Year 10 (Y10) data. Specifically, we compare two perturbative approaches, Lagrangian perturbation theory (LPT) and Eulerian perturbation theory (EPT) to two variants of Hybrid Effective Field Theory (HEFT), with our fiducial implementation of these models including terms up to second order in the bias expansion as well as nonlocal bias and deviations from Poissonian stochasticity. We consider a variety of different simulated galaxy samples and test the performance of the bias models in a tomographic joint analysis of LSST-Y10-like galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy-lensing and cosmic shear. We find both HEFT methods as well as LPT and EPT combined with non-perturbative predictions for the matter power spectrum to yield unbiased constraints on cosmological parameters up to at least a maximal scale of k_max = 0.4 Mpc^-1 for all samples considered, even in the presence of assembly bias. While we find that we can reduce the complexity of the bias model for HEFT without compromising fit accuracy, this is not generally the case for the perturbative models. We find significant detections of non-Poissonian stochasticity in all cases considered, and our analysis shows evidence that small-scale galaxy clustering predominantly improves constraints on galaxy bias rather than cosmological parameters. These results therefore suggest that the systematic uncertainties associated with current nonlinear bias models are likely to be subdominant compared to other sources of error for tomographic analyses of upcoming photometric surveys, which bodes well for future galaxy clustering analyses using these high signal-to-noise data.

Abstract:

Galaxy peculiar velocities can be used to trace the growth of structure on cosmological scales. In the radial direction, peculiar velocities cause redshift space distortions, an established cosmological probe, and can be measured individually in the presence of an independent distance indicator. In the transverse direction, peculiar velocities cause proper motions. In this case, however, the proper motions are too small to detect on a galaxy-by-galaxy basis for any realistic experiment in the foreseeable future, but could be detected statistically in cross-correlation with other tracers of the density fluctuations. We forecast the sensitivity for a detection of transverse peculiar velocities through the cross-correlation of a proper motion survey, modelled after existing extragalactic samples measured by Gaia, and an overlaping galaxy survey. In particular, we consider a low-redshift galaxy sample, and a higher-redshift quasar sample. We find that, while the expected cosmological signal is below the expected statistical uncertainties from current data using cross-correlations, the sensitivity can improve fast with future experiments, and the threshold for detection may not be too far away in the future. Quantitatively, we find that the signal-to-noise ratio for detection is in the range , with most of the signal concentrated at low redshifts . If detected, this signal is sensitive to the product of the expansion and growth rates at late times, and thus would constitute an independent observable, sensitive to both background expansion and large-scale density fluctuations.