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Satellite image of storm Eunice over the UK

Shirin Ermis (she/her)

Graduate student - NERC DTP

Research theme

  • Climate physics

Sub department

  • Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics

Research groups

  • Predictability of weather and climate
shirin.ermis@physics.ox.ac.uk
Atmospheric Physics Clarendon Laboratory, room 113
shirin-ermis.github.io
  • About
  • Publications

I am a doctoral researcher working in collaboration with the UK Met Office. I focus on extreme event attribution using medium-range weather forecasts to assess changes in extreme weather events. For now, I am assessing mid-latitude storms, using the storyline approach of event attribution. My supervisory team is Dr Antje Weisheimer, Dr Sarah Sparrow, Dr Fraser Lott, and Dr Nick Leach.

I obtained a BSc in Physics from Heidelberg (Germany) and a MSc in Physics with Extended Research from Imperial College London. Apart from my research, I am interested in evidence-based policy and science journalism.

Previous research projects

  • For my BSc, I investigated the multicentennial variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in four coupled climate models. I presented the results of this study at EGU 2020. 
  • During my research year at Imperial, I studied the interannual variability of tropical cyclones using a statistical-empirical hazard model called STORM which I presented at EGU 2022.

Selected science communication

  • Primer on palaeoclimatology in Anthroposphere - The Oxford Climate Review, 2020.
  • Piece on female Nobel laureates in Imperial student newspaper Felix, 2020.
  • The future of event attribution, including an interview with Dr Fredi Otto in Imperial student newspaper Felix, 2021.

More articles can be found on my blog.

Ask me about

Extreme events, what even is geopotential height, attribution for loss and damage, cross country running

Research interests

extreme events
event attribution
extratropical cyclones
predictability of weather and climate

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