Harrison Nicholls (he/him)

Abstract:

The effect of enhanced UV irradiation associated with stellar flares on the atmospheric composition and temperature of gas giant exoplanets was investigated. This was done using a 1D radiative-convective-chemical model with self-consistent feedback between the temperature and the non-equilibrium chemistry. It was found that flare-driven changes to chemical composition and temperature give rise to prolonged trends in evolution across a broad range of pressure levels and species. Allowing feedback between chemistry and temperature plays an important role in establishing the quiescent structure of these atmospheres, and determines their evolution due to flares. It was found that cooler planets are more susceptible to flares than warmer ones, seeing larger changes in composition and temperature, and that temperature–chemistry feedback modifies their evolution. Long-term exposure to flares changes the transmission spectra of gas giant atmospheres; these changes differed when the temperature structure was allowed to evolve self-consistently with the chemistry. Changes in spectral features due to the effects of flares on these atmospheres can be associated with changes in composition. The effects of flares on the atmospheres of sufficiently cool planets will impact observations made with JWST. It is necessary to use self-consistent models of temperature and chemistry in order to accurately capture the effects of flares on features in the transmission spectra of cooler gas giants, but this depends heavily on the radiation environment of the planet.

Abstract:

ABSTRACT While Earth locks much of its carbon in its crust as carbonates, Venus retains a comparable carbon inventory almost entirely in its atmosphere as CO$_2$. On Earth, the geological carbon cycle that has produced this vast crustal carbonate inventory is regulated by biology, liquid water, and plate tectonics, which together have stabilized climate over geological time-scales. Venus presently lacks all these processes. We test whether Venus’s massive CO$_2$ atmosphere is diagnostic of a specific evolutionary pathway by quantifying three routes: primary magma-ocean outgassing, secondary volcanic degassing in a stagnant-lid regime, and remobilization of crustal carbonates after climate destabilization. Using a coupled climate–weathering framework, we find that a past habitable Venus could have stored $\sim$20 bar of CO$_2$ as crustal carbonates. Following the transition to runaway conditions, crustal heating releases this reservoir over tens of Myr. In stagnant-lid secondary-degassing models with a MORB-like mantle, outgassing reaches only $\sim$25 bar CO$_2$, limited by progressive mantle volatile depletion. However, Venus-like inventories can be achieved through: (i) magmatic carbon enrichment, (ii) increased magmatic delivery to the surface (high extrusion or melt production), and (iii) the recycling of undegassed carbon back into the planet’s interior. Primary magma-ocean outgassing can generate $\gt 10^2$ bar CO$_2$, but the retained fraction after early escape remains uncertain. Ultimately, a Venus-like massive CO$_2$ atmosphere is an equifinal outcome and does not uniquely diagnose a temperate past.