Experimental monthly long-range forecasts for the United Kingdom: part II, a real-time long-range forecast by an ensemble of numerical integrations.
Meteorological Magazine 115:1372 (1986) 337-349
Abstract:
The use of an ensemble of integrations for long-range prediction has been studied with a hemispheric version of the Meteorological Office 5-level general circulation model. Some results, showing the potential of the technique, are described. The method is now being used with the global 11-level model to produce real-time long- range forecasts for the long-range forecasting conference in the Synoptic Climatology Branch of the Meteorological Office. Results from the first of these real-time ensemble forecasts are discussed. -AuthorsGulf Stream variability and European climate.
Meteorological Magazine 115:1370 (1986) 291-297
Abstract:
The influence of mid-latitude oceanic variability on the atmospheric general circulation is not well understood. Nevertheless, some modelling and observational evidence is presented to suggest that, in winter-time, persistent sea surface temperature anomalies near Newfoundland could influence climate downstream over Europe. The discussion is summary of a more extensive paper which recently appeared in the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.-AuthorA STUDY OF WINTERTIME CIRCULATION ANOMALIES DURING PAST EL-NINO EVENTS USING A HIGH-RESOLUTION GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL .2. VARIABILITY OF THE SEASONAL MEAN RESPONSE
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 112:473 (1986) 639-660
ALLEVIATION OF A SYSTEMATIC WESTERLY BIAS IN GENERAL-CIRCULATION AND NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS THROUGH AN OROGRAPHIC GRAVITY-WAVE DRAG PARAMETRIZATION
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 112:474 (1986) 1001-1039
A modelling and observational study of the relationship between sea surface temperature in the North‐West atlantic and the atmospheric general circulation
The Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 111:466 (1985) 947-975