Next-gen weather forecasting to measure human impact
Forecasting centres like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in Reading or the Met Office could apply the same tools used for numerical weather forecasting to understand and quantify how human behaviour is impacting major events like heatwaves, storms and floods.
Publications:
- Leach, N.J., C.D. Roberts,M. Aengenheyster, D. Heathcote, D.M. Mitchell, V. Thompson, T.N. Palmer, A. Weisheimer and M.R. Allen (2024). Heatwave attribution based on reliable operational weather forecasts. Nature Communications.
- Ermis, S., Leach, N.J., F. Lott, S. Sparrow and A. Weisheimer (2024). Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts. Env. Res.: Climate
- Leach, N., A. Weisheimer, M.R. Allen, and T.N. Palmer (2021). Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability. PNAS
AI-led science innovation protects communities hit by climate variability and change
The United Nations World Food Programme (WFP), IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), and other national forecasting and meteorology agencies across east Africa are joining forces together with our group to pioneer a transformative initiative that is revolutionising extreme weather forecasting and early warning systems in the region.