Climate dynamics

Abstract:

Significant differences in heating rates are found when two solar irradiance spectra are used in a line-by-line radiative transfer code. Compared with a spectrum of recent satellite data an older theoretical spectrum gives 20-40% more heating in the ozone Hartley band, important in the upper stratosphere. The spectra are implemented in a broadband radiation code to which some improvements are also made to the ozone absorption parameterization. A widely-used spectrum of ground-based data from 1960s gives somewhat lower heating rates. The effects of the changes in the spectrum, and the broad-band scheme, on the temperatures simulated by a middle atmosphere GCM are investigated. The model has previously shown a warm bias, compared with climatology, around the stratopause but this is significantly reduced when the former spectrum is substituted for the latter, and the new ozone parameterization incorporated. The change in spectrum accounts for two-thirds of the improvement. Copyright 2008 by the American Geophysical Union.

Abstract:

The atmospheric circulation changes predicted by climate models are often described using sea level pressure, which generally shows a strengthening of the mid-latitude westerlies. Recent observed variability is dominated by the Northern Annular Mode (NAM) which is equivalent barotropic, so that wind variations of the same sign are seen at all levels. However, in model predictions of the response to anthropogenic forcing, there is a well-known enhanced warming at low levels over the northern polar cap in winter. This means that there is a strong baroclinic component to the response. The projection of the response onto a NAM-like zonal index varies with height. While at the surface most models project positively onto the zonal index, throughout most of the depth of the troposphere many of the models give negative projections. The response to anthropogenic forcing therefore has a distinctive baroclinic signature which is very different to the NAM. Copyright 2008 by the American Geophysical Union.