PANDOR-I: Preliminary vacuum chamber experimental set-up of dust layering, ice-regolith lunar analogues in reflectance (1.8 – 20 µm)
(2026)
Abstract:
Targeting Intermittently Sunlit Areas With Thermal Stability for Buried Water Ice in the South Polar Region of the Moon
Journal of Geophysical Research Planets American Geophysical Union (AGU) 131:2 (2026)
Abstract:
Abstract Intermittently sunlit areas near the lunar south pole are estimated to harbor thermal conditions permitting long‐term stability of water ice and other volatiles. They are targets for future science and exploration missions due to the combination of sunlight availability for solar power generation, and the possibility for extraction of volatiles for scientific analysis and ISRU. We construct a geodatabase of spatially co‐registered remote sensing and thermal model results, and perform a probabilistic analysis to determine the likelihood of successfully landing and operating on such locations for a quadrangular study area that bounds the 80°S parallel. In addition to water ice thermal stability, we consider factors relevant for the operation of solar‐powered landed spacecraft: visibility to the Earth, visibility to the sun, and local slope. For two scenarios representing sets of most‐ and least‐constrained landing site requirements, we find that circular landing ellipse diameters of ∼0.9 and 2.6 km, respectively, would allow to target available compliant terrains with 100% success. We quantify the reduction in success probability with increasing landing ellipse size. Further, we explore the distributions of geometric properties of compliant areas, and identify three sites of interest that support large areas of compliant terrain: near De Gerlache crater, near Shackleton crater, and Mons Mouton (informally named as Leibnitz‐β massif). This study is provided to support planning for future lunar missions. Plain Language Summary Researchers have identified areas near the lunar poles that receive occasional sunlight and could keep water ice and other resources stable over a long period of time. These spots are valuable for future lunar missions since they could provide solar power and possibly resources such as water for scientific study and on‐site use. To assess potential landing sites in the south polar region, we created a database combining remote sensing and thermal data set, then used it to calculate the likelihood of successful landing on accessible terrains with stable water ice conditions from the 80°S to the South Pole. The study looked at factors critical for solar‐powered landers: the terrain's visibility to Earth (for communication), sunlight access, and the slope of the ground. We analyzed two scenarios with different landing precisions. We found that landing areas with diameters of about 0.9 and 2.6 km could ensure a 100% success rate under the most‐ and least‐constrained scenarios, respectively. Larger landing areas decreased the success probability. We also mapped the physical characteristics of ideal areas and highlighted three promising locations near De Gerlache crater, Shackleton crater, and Mons Mouton. Key Points We identify intermittently sunlit areas that permit long‐term stability of sub‐surface water ice, and accessible by landed missions “Compliant terrains” in two scenarios range from 13,071 km² (least constrained) to 290 km² (most constrained) in the south polar region For areas ≥80°S, we recommend sub‐km landing precision for missions with success criteria involving exploration of lunar polar water iceA Thermal Infrared Emission Spectral Morphology Study of Lizardite
(2025)
Abstract:
Developing Oxford’s Enceladus Thermal Mapper (ETM)
Copernicus Publications (2025)