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forecast-based-attribution-schematic
Credit: Nicholas Leach 2022

Dr Nicholas Leach

Senior Postdoctoral Research Assistant in Weather & Climate Impacts on Health

Research theme

  • Climate physics

Sub department

  • Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics

Research groups

  • Predictability of weather and climate
nicholas.leach@physics.ox.ac.uk
Atmospheric Physics Clarendon Laboratory, room 117
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  • About
  • Publications

A comparison of storyline attribution methods for a midlatitude cyclone

Copernicus Publications (2025)

Authors:

Shirin Ermis, Vikki Thompson, Nicholas Leach, Hylke de Vries, Geert Lenderink, Lynn Zhou, Pandora Hope, Ben Clarke, Sarah Kew, Sarah Sparrow, Fraser Lott, Antje Weisheimer
More details from the publisher

The perfect storm: loss potential of Eunice-like cyclones in a counterfactual climate

Copernicus Publications (2025)

Authors:

Nicholas Leach, Shirin Ermis, Aidan Brocklehurst, Dhirendra Kumar, Alexandros Georgiadis, Lukas Braun, Len Shaffrey
More details from the publisher

“Boosted” realities: exploring the plausible limits of extreme weather through ensemble forecasts

Copernicus Publications (2025)

Authors:

Nicholas Leach, Shirin Ermis, Erich Fischer, Olivia Vashti Ayim, Aidan Brocklehurst, Kelvin Ng, Gregor Leckebusch
More details from the publisher

Forecast-based attribution for midlatitude cyclones

Copernicus Publications (2025)

Authors:

Shirin Ermis, Nicholas Leach, Sarah Sparrow, Fraser Lott, Antje Weisheimer
More details from the publisher

Towards an operational forecast-based attribution system - beyond isolated events

Copernicus Publications (2025)

Authors:

Nicholas Leach, Shirin Ermis, Olivia Vashti Ayim, Sarah Sparrow, Fraser Lott, Linjing Zhou, Pandora Hope, Dann Mitchell, Antje Weisheimer, Myles Allen
More details from the publisher

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