Prof Christopher Ramsey

Abstract:

Radiocarbon dating of individual samples only yields limited chronological precision (typically of the order of 150–200 years for 95% confidence). This is in large part due to the complex nature of the calibration curve. Only by using large numbers of radiocarbon determinations together can we hope to resolve chronological issues at the sub-century level. Interpretation of such datasets is very difficult to do accurately by eye and for this reason statistical methods are needed. The methods most often employed are those of Bayesian analysis. Such methods do indeed allow us to improve our precision beyond that which is possible for single age determinations by radiocarbon but, critically, they also allow us to see the limitations in our data. In cases where statistical analysis shows that the radiocarbon measurements cannot resolve the chronological issues we need to accept that we must rely on other forms of archaeological information and interpretation.

Abstract:

Priority question exercises are becoming an increasingly common tool to frame future agendas in conservation and ecological science. They are an effective way to identify research foci that advance the field and that also have high policy and conservation relevance. To date, there has been no coherent synthesis of key questions and priority research areas for palaeoecology, which combines biological, geochemical and molecular techniques in order to reconstruct past ecological and environmental systems on time-scales from decades to millions of years. We adapted a well-established methodology to identify 50 priority research questions in palaeoecology. Using a set of criteria designed to identify realistic and achievable research goals, we selected questions from a pool submitted by the international palaeoecology research community and relevant policy practitioners. The integration of online participation, both before and during the workshop, increased international engagement in question selection. The questions selected are structured around six themes: human-environment interactions in the Anthropocene; biodiversity, conservation and novel ecosystems; biodiversity over long time-scales; ecosystem processes and biogeochemical cycling; comparing, combining and synthesizing information from multiple records; and new developments in palaeoecology. Future opportunities in palaeoecology are related to improved incorporation of uncertainty into reconstructions, an enhanced understanding of ecological and evolutionary dynamics and processes and the continued application of long-term data for better-informed landscape management. © 2013 The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.