Cosmology

Abstract:

Abstract This study investigates the estimation of the neutral hydrogen (H i) mass function (HiMF) using a Bayesian stacking approach with simulated data for the Five-hundred-meter Aperture Spherical radio Telescope (FAST) H i intensity mapping (HiIM) drift-scan surveys. Using data from the IllustrisTNG simulation, we construct H i sky cubes at redshift z ∼ 0.1 and the corresponding optical galaxy catalogs, simulating FAST observations under various survey strategies, including pilot, deep-field, and ultradeep-field surveys. The HiMF is measured for distinct galaxy populations—classified by optical properties into red, blue, and bluer galaxies—and injected with systematic effects such as observational noise and flux confusion caused by the FAST beam. The results show that Bayesian stacking significantly enhances HiMF measurements. For red and blue galaxies, the HiMF can be well constrained with pilot surveys, while deeper surveys are required for the bluer galaxy population. Our analysis also reveals that sample variance dominates over observational noise, emphasizing the importance of wide-field surveys to improve constraints. Furthermore, flux confusion shifts the HiMF toward higher masses, which we address using a transfer function for correction. Finally, we explore the effects of intrinsic sample incompleteness and propose a framework to quantify its impact. This work lays the groundwork for future HiMF studies with FAST HiIM, addressing key challenges and enabling robust analyses of H i content across galaxy populations.

Abstract:

Using deep observations across three of the LOFAR Two-metre Sky Survey Deep Fields, this work measures the angular clustering of star-forming galaxies (SFGs) and low-excitation radio galaxies (LERGs) to 1.5 for faint sources, 200 Jy. We measure the angular auto-correlation of LOFAR sources in redshift bins and their cross-correlation with multiwavelength sources to measure the evolving galaxy bias for SFGs and LERGs. Our work shows the bias of the radio-selected SFGs increases from = at 0.2 to = at 1.2; faster than the assumed models adopted in previous LOFAR cosmology studies (at sensitivities where active galactic nuclei dominate), but in broad agreement with previous work. We further study the luminosity dependence of bias for SFGs and find little evidence for any luminosity dependence at fixed redshift, although uncertainties remain large for the sample sizes available. The LERG population instead shows a weaker redshift evolution with = at 0.7 to = at 1.2, though it is also consistent with the assumed bias evolution model () within the measured uncertainties. For those LERGs that reside in quiescent galaxies, there is weak evidence that they are more biased than the general LERG population and evolve from = at 0.7 to = at 1.2. This suggests the halo environment of radio sources may be related to their properties. These measurements can help constrain models for the bias evolution of these source populations, and can help inform multi-tracer analyses.

Abstract:

Context. Baryonic physics has a considerable impact on the distribution of matter in our Universe on scales probed by current and future cosmological surveys, acting as a key systematic in such analyses. Aims. We seek simple symbolic parametrisations for the impact of baryonic physics on the matter power spectrum for a range of physically motivated models, as a function of wavenumber, redshift, cosmology, and parameters controlling the baryonic feedback. Methods. We used symbolic regression to construct analytic approximations for the ratio of the matter power spectrum in the presence of baryons to that without such effects. We obtained separate functions of each of four distinct sub-grid prescriptions of baryonic physics from the CAMELS suite of hydrodynamical simulations (Astrid, IllustrisTNG, SIMBA, and Swift-EAGLE) as well as for a baryonification algorithm. We also provide functions that describe the uncertainty on these predictions, due to both the stochastic nature of baryonic physics and the errors on our fits. Results. The error on our approximations to the hydrodynamical simulations is comparable to the sample variance estimated through varying initial conditions, and our baryonification expression has a root mean squared error of better than one percent, although this increases on small scales. These errors are comparable to those of previous numerical emulators for these models. Our expressions are enforced to have the physically correct behaviour on large scales and at high redshift. Due to their analytic form, we are able to directly interpret the impact of varying cosmology and feedback parameters, and we can identify parameters that have little to no effect. Conlcusions. Each function is based on a different implementation of baryonic physics, and can therefore be used to discriminate between these models when applied to real data. We provide a publicly available code for all symbolic approximations found.

Abstract:

Abstract:

Understanding the origin and evolution of supermassive black holes (SMBHs) stands as one of the most important challenges in astrophysics and cosmology, with little current theoretical consensus. Improved observational constraints on the cosmological evolution of SMBH demographics are needed. Here we report results of a search via photometric variability for SMBHs appearing as active galactic nuclei (AGN) in the cosmological volume defined by the Hubble Ultra Deep Field. This work includes particular focus on a new observation carried out in 2023 with the Hubble Space Telescope using the WFC3/IR/F140W, which is compared directly to equivalent data taken 11 yr earlier in 2012. Two earlier pairs of observations from 2009 to 2012 with WFC3/IR/F105W and WFC3/IR/F160W are also analyzed. We identify 521, 188, and 109 AGN candidates as nuclear sources that exhibit photometric variability at a level of 2σ, 2.5σ, and 3σ, respectively, in at least one filter. This sample includes 13, 3, and 2 AGN candidates at redshifts z > 6, when the Universe was ≲900 Myr old. After variability and luminosity function (down to MUV = −17 mag) completeness corrections, we estimate the comoving number density of SMBHs, nSMBH(z). At z ≳ 6, nSMBH ≳ 6 × 10−3 cMpc−3. At low z our observations are sensitive to AGN fainter than MUV = −17 mag, and we estimate nSMBH ≳ 10−2 cMpc−3. We discuss how these results place strong constraints on a variety of SMBH seeding theories.