Comparing the DES-SN5YR and Pantheon+ SN cosmology analyses: investigation based on ‘evolving dark energy or supernovae systematics’?

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press 541:3 (2025) 2585-2593

Authors:

M Vincenzi, R Kessler, P Shah, J Lee, TM Davis, D Scolnic, P Armstrong, D Brout, R Camilleri, R Chen, L Galbany, C Lidman, A Möller, B Popovic, B Rose, M Sako, BO Sánchez, M Smith, M Sullivan, P Wiseman, TMC Abbott, M Aguena, S Allam, F Andrade-Oliveira

Abstract:

Recent cosmological analyses measuring distances of type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) have all given similar hints at time-evolving dark energy. To examine whether underestimated SN Ia systematics might be driving these results, Efstathiou (2025) compared overlapping SN events between Pantheon+ and DES-SN5YR (20 per cent SNe are in common), and reported evidence for an 0.04 mag offset between the low- and high-redshift distance measurements of this subsample of events. If this offset is arbitrarily subtracted from the entire DES-SN5YR sample, the preference for evolving dark energy is reduced. In this paper, we show that this offset is mostly due to different corrections for Malmquist bias between the two samples; therefore, an object-to-object comparison can be misleading. Malmquist bias corrections differ between the two analyses for several reasons. First, DES-SN5YR used an improved model of SN Ia luminosity scatter compared to Pantheon+ but the associated scatter-model uncertainties are included in the error budget. Secondly, improvements in host mass estimates in DES-SN5YR also affected SN standardized magnitudes and their bias corrections. Thirdly, and most importantly, the selection functions of the two compilations are significantly different, hence the inferred Malmquist bias corrections. Even if the original scatter model and host properties from Pantheon+ are used instead, the evidence for evolving dark energy from CMB, DESI BAO Year 1 and DES-SN5YR is only reduced from 3.9 to 3.3, consistent with the error budget. Finally, in this investigation, we identify an underestimated systematic uncertainty related to host galaxy property uncertainties, which could increase the final DES-SN5YR error budget by 3 per cent. In conclusion, we confirm the validity of the published DES-SN5YR results.

The accretion–ejection connection in the black hole X-ray binary MAXI J1820+070

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press 541:2 (2025) 1851-1865

Authors:

Joe S Bright, Rob Fender, David M Russell, Sara E Motta, Ethan Man, Jakob van den Eijnden, Kevin Alabarta, Justine Crook-Mansour, Maria C Baglio, David A Green, Ian Heywood, Fraser Lewis, Payaswini Saikia, Paul F Scott, David J Titterington

Abstract:

The black hole X-ray binary MAXI J1820070 began its first recorded outburst in March 2018, and remained an active radio, X-ray, and optical source for over 4 yr. Due to the low distance to the source and its intrinsically high luminosity MAXI J1820070 was observed extensively over this time period, resulting in high-cadence and quasi-simultaneous observations across the electromagnetic spectrum. These data sets provide the opportunity to probe the connection between accretion and the launch of jets in greater detail than for the majority of black hole X-ray binaries. In this work, we present radio (Arcminute Microkelvin Imager Large Array, MeerKAT), X-ray (Swift), and optical (Las Cumbres Observatory) observations of MAXI J1820070 throughout its entire outburst, including its initial hard state, subsequent soft state, and further hard-state-only re-brightenings (covering March 2018 to August 2022). Due to the regularity and temporal density of our observational data we are able to create a Radio–X-ray–Optical activity plane where we find a high degree of correlation between the three wave bands during the hard states, and observe hysteresis as MAXI J1820070 enters and exits the soft state. Based on the morphology of the optical light curves we see evidence for optical jet contributions during the soft-to-hard state transition, as well as fading optical emission well before the hard to soft transition. We establish that the remarkably similar profiles of the re-brightening events are broadly consistent with modified disc instability models where irradiation from the inner accretion disc is included.

Optical+Near-IR Analysis of a Newly Confirmed Einstein Ring at z ∼ 1 from the Kilo-Degree Survey: Dark Matter Fraction, Total and Dark Matter Density Slope, and Initial Mass Function * * Based on observations with OmegaCam@VST, VIRCAM@VISTA, HAWK-I, and XSHOOTER@VLT (Prog. ID: 107.22S8)

The Astrophysical Journal Letters American Astronomical Society 987:2 (2025) L31

Authors:

Rui Li, Nicola R Napolitano, Giuseppe D’Ago, Vyacheslav N Shalyapin, Kai Zhu, Xiaotong Guo, Ran Li, Léon VE Koopmans, Chiara Spiniello, Crescenzo Tortora, Francesco La Barbera, Haicheng Feng, Liang Gao, Zhiqi Huang, Koen Kuijken, Hui Li, Linghua Xie, Mario Radovich, Alexey Sergeyev

Abstract:

We report the spectroscopic confirmation of a bright blue Einstein ring in the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS) footprint: the Einstein “blue eye.” Spectroscopic data from X-Shooter at the Very Large Telescope (VLT) show that the lens is a typical early-type galaxy (ETG) at zl = 0.9906, while the background source is a Lyα emitter at zs = 2.823. The reference lens modeling was performed on a high-resolution Y-band adaptive-optics image from HAWK-I at VLT. Assuming a singular isothermal ellipsoid total mass density profile, we inferred an Einstein radius REin = 10.47 ± 0.06 kpc. The average slope of the total mass density inside the Einstein radius, as determined by a joint analysis of lensing and isotropic Jeans equations, is γtot=2.14−0.07+0.06 , showing no systematic deviation from the slopes of lower-redshift galaxies. This can be the evidence of ETGs developing through dry mergers plus moderate dissipationless accretion. Stellar population analysis with eight-band (griZYJHKs) photometries from KiDS and VIKING shows that the total stellar mass of the lens is M* = (3.95 ± 0.35) × 1011 M⊙ (Salpeter initial mass function (IMF)), implying a dark matter fraction inside the effective radius of fDM = 0.307 ± 0.151. We finally explored the dark matter halo slope and found a strong degeneracy with the dynamic stellar mass. Dark matter adiabatic contraction is needed to explain the posterior distribution of the slope, unless an IMF heavier than Salpeter is assumed.

Joint Radiative and Kinematic Modelling of X-ray Binary Ejecta: Energy Estimate and Reverse Shock Detection

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) (2025) staf1085

Authors:

AJ Cooper, JH Matthews, F Carotenuto, R Fender, GP Lamb, TD Russell, N Sarin, K Savard, AA Zdziarski

Abstract:

Abstract Black hole X-ray binaries in outburst launch discrete, large-scale jet ejections which can propagate to parsec scales. The kinematics of these ejecta appear to be well described by relativistic blast wave models original devised for gamma-ray burst afterglows. In previous kinematic-only modelling, a crucial degeneracy prevented the initial ejecta energy and the interstellar medium density from being accurately determined. In this work, we present the first joint Bayesian modelling of the radiation and kinematics of a large-scale jet ejection from the X-ray binary MAXI J1535-571. We demonstrate that a reverse shock powers the bright, early ejecta emission. The joint model breaks the energetic degeneracy, and we find the ejecta has an initial energy of E0 ∼ 3 × 1043 erg, and propagates into a low density interstellar medium of nism ∼ 4 × 10−5 cm−3. The ejecta is consistent with being launched perpendicular to the disc and could be powered by an efficient conversion of available accretion power alone. This work lays the foundation for future parameter estimation studies using all available data of X-ray binary jet ejecta.

MIGHTEE-HI: the radial acceleration relation with resolved stellar mass measurements

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press 541:3 (2025) 2366-2392

Authors:

Andreea A Vărăşteanu, Matt J Jarvis, Anastasia A Ponomareva, Harry Desmond, Ian Heywood, Tariq Yasin, Natasha Maddox, Marcin Glowacki, Michalina Maksymowicz-Maciata, Pavel E Mancera Piña, Hengxing Pan

Abstract:

The radial acceleration relation (RAR) is a fundamental relation linking baryonic and dark matter in galaxies by relating the observed acceleration derived from dynamics to the one estimated from the baryonic mass. This relation exhibits small scatter, thus providing key constraints for models of galaxy formation and evolution – allowing us to map the distribution of dark matter in galaxies – as well as models of modified dynamics. However, it has only been extensively studied in the very local Universe with largely heterogeneous samples. We present a new measurement of the RAR, utilizing a homogeneous sample of 19 H i-selected galaxies out to . We introduce a novel approach of measuring resolved stellar masses using spectral energy distribution fitting across 10 photometric bands to determine the resolved mass-to-light ratio, which we show is essential for measuring the acceleration due to baryons in the low-acceleration regime. Our results reveal a tight RAR with a low-acceleration power-law slope of , consistent with previous studies. Adopting a spatially varying mass-to-light ratio yields the tightest RAR with an intrinsic scatter of only dex, highlighting the importance of resolved stellar mass measurements in accurately characterizing the gravitational contribution of the baryons in low-mass, gas-rich galaxies. We also find the first tentative evidence for redshift evolution in the acceleration scale, but more data will be required to confirm this. Adopting a more general MOND interpolating function, we find that our results ameliorate the tension between previous RAR analyses, the Solar System quadrupole, and wide-binary test.