Towards a Robust Detection of Interannual Ensemble Forecast Signals over the North Atlantic and Europe using Atmospheric Circulation Regimes

Authors:

Swinda Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer, Theodore Shepherd

Understanding the intermittency of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern seasonal forecast skill in the Copernicus C3S multi-model ensemble

Geophysical Research Letters American Geophysical Union

Authors:

Laura Baker, Len Shaffrey, Stephanie Johnson, Antje Weisheimer

Understanding the mechanisms for tropical surface impacts of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)

Authors:

Jorge Luis Garcia-Franco, Lesley J Gray, Scott M Osprey, Robin Chadwick, Jonathan Lin

Using reliability diagrams to interpret the ‘signal-to-noise paradox’ in seasonal forecasts of the winter North Atlantic Oscilation

Authors:

Kristian Strommen, Molly MacRae, Hannah Christensen

Weather and climate models in 16-bit arithmetics: Number formats, error mitigation and scope

Authors:

Milan Klöewer, Peter D Duben, Tim N Palmer