Predictability of weather and climate

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Tonga eruption triggered waves propagating globally from surface to edge of space

Authors:

Corwin Wright, Neil Hindley, M Joan Alexander, Mathew Barlow, Lars Hoffmann, Cathryn Mitchell, Fred Prata, Marie Bouillon, Justin Carstens, Cathy Clerbaux, Scott Osprey, Nick Powell, Cora Randall, Jia Yue
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Towards a Robust Detection of Interannual Ensemble Forecast Signals over the North Atlantic and Europe using Atmospheric Circulation Regimes

Authors:

Swinda Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer, Theodore Shepherd
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Understanding the intermittency of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern seasonal forecast skill in the Copernicus C3S multi-model ensemble

Geophysical Research Letters American Geophysical Union

Authors:

Laura Baker, Len Shaffrey, Stephanie Johnson, Antje Weisheimer
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Understanding the mechanisms for tropical surface impacts of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)

Authors:

Jorge Luis Garcia-Franco, Lesley J Gray, Scott M Osprey, Robin Chadwick, Jonathan Lin
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Using reliability diagrams to interpret the ‘signal-to-noise paradox’ in seasonal forecasts of the winter North Atlantic Oscilation

Authors:

Kristian Strommen, Molly MacRae, Hannah Christensen
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