The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society 105 (2024) E651-E659
$p$-adic Distance, Finite Precision and Emergent Superdeterminism: A Number-Theoretic Consistent-Histories Approach to Local Quantum Realism
ArXiv 1609.08148 (2016)
$p$-adic Distance, Finite Precision and Emergent Superdeterminism: A Number-Theoretic Consistent-Histories Approach to Local Quantum Realism
ArXiv 1609.08148 (2016)
The link between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and ENSO in seasonal forecasts
Atmospheric Science Letters Wiley 25:1 (2023) e1190
Abstract:
This study assesses the ability of six European seasonal forecast models to simulate the observed teleconnection between ENSO and tropical cyclones (TCs) over the North Atlantic. While the models generally capture the basin-wide observed link, its magnitude is overestimated in all forecast models compared to reanalysis. Furthermore, the ENSO-TC relationship in the Caribbean is poorly simulated. It is shown that incorrect forecasting of wind shear appears to affect the representation of the teleconnection in some models, however it is not a completely sufficient explanation for the overestimation of the link.$p$-adic Distance, Finite Precision and Emergent Superdeterminism: A Number-Theoretic Consistent-Histories Approach to Local Quantum Realism
ArXiv 1609.08148 (2016)