Prof. David Alonso

Abstract:

As the statistical power of imaging surveys grows, it is crucial to account for all systematic uncertainties. This is normally done by constructing a model of these uncertainties and then marginalizing over the additional model parameters. The resulting high dimensionality of the total parameter spaces makes inferring the cosmological parameters significantly more costly using traditional Monte Carlo sampling methods. A particularly relevant example is the redshift distribution, p(⁠z ), of the source samples, which may require tens of parameters to describe fully. However, relatively tight priors can be usually placed on these parameters through calibration of the associated systematics. In this paper, we show, quantitatively, that a linearization of the theoretical prediction with respect to these calibrated systematic parameters allows us to analytically marginalize over these extra parameters, leading to a factor of ∼30 reduction in the time needed for parameter inference, while accurately recovering the same posterior distributions for the cosmological parameters that would be obtained through a full numerical marginalization over 160 p(⁠z ) parameters. We demonstrate that this is feasible not only with current data and current achievable calibration priors but also for future Stage-IV data sets.

Abstract:

The observation of the polarised emission from the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) from future ground-based and satellite-borne experiments holds the promise of indirectly detecting the elusive signal from primordial tensor fluctuations in the form of large-scale B-mode polarisation. Doing so, however, requires an accurate and robust separation of the signal from polarised Galactic foregrounds. We present a component separation method for multi-frequency CMB observations that combines some of the advantages of map-based and power-spectrum-based techniques, and which is direcly applicable to data in the presence of realistic foregrounds and instrumental noise. We demonstrate that the method is able to reduce the contamination from Galactic foregrounds below an equivalent tensor-to-scalar ratio r_FG ≲ 5 × 10^-4, as required for next-generation observatories, for a wide range of foreground models with varying degrees of complexity. This bias reduction is associated with a mild ∼20–30% increase in the final statistical uncertainties, and holds for large sky areas, and for experiments targeting both the reionisation and recombination bumps in theB-mode power spectrum.