Eccentric stellar-mass binary black holes: Population, detectability, and waveform analysis in the LISA and LIGO era
Physical Review D American Physical Society (APS) 114:6 (2026) 063036
Authors:
Zeyuan Xuan, Smadar Naoz, Kyle Kremer, Michael L Katz, Bence Kocsis, Erez Michaely
Abstract:
Eccentric binary black holes (BBHs) formed through dynamical interactions can significantly contribute to gravitational wave (GW) detections. In this work, we present a simulated catalog of dynamically formed, stellar-mass BBHs in the local universe, incorporating contributions from the Galactic field (flyby interactions), Galactic nucleus (eccentric Kozai-Lidov evolution), and globular clusters (N-body interactions). Our results predict a wide, highly eccentric BBH population in the Milky Way, with source counts of ∼25, 9, 3, 1, and <1 for a 4-year LISA mission (∼36, 13, 5, 2, and 1 for a 10-year extended mission), for SNR>1, 3, 8, 20, and 50, respectively. Extending this model to cosmological populations, we show that different dynamical channels can produce distinct eccentricity distributions in the LVK band and can contribute hundreds of additional low-SNR mHz sources. Specifically, our model yields a merger rate of Γ∼9 Gpc-3 yr-1 and ∼150 extragalactic mHz BBHs with SNR>1. However, due to the lower mass and weaker GW signals of stellar-mass BBHs, this number declines sharply at higher detection thresholds (e.g., ∼1 for SNR>8). We further highlight the impact of eccentric BBH signals on the LISA global fit, showing that their individual harmonics can be independently detected in the Milky Way, and may mimic circular binaries with systematically biased chirp masses. Lastly, we show that post-Newtonian waveforms converge reliably for eccentric BBHs with masses of ≲103M⊙ in the mHz band. Overall, eccentric BBHs represent a prevalent and promising target for future space-based GW observatories.