Dr Tristram Warren

Abstract:

Abstract Intermittently sunlit areas near the lunar south pole are estimated to harbor thermal conditions permitting long‐term stability of water ice and other volatiles. They are targets for future science and exploration missions due to the combination of sunlight availability for solar power generation, and the possibility for extraction of volatiles for scientific analysis and ISRU. We construct a geodatabase of spatially co‐registered remote sensing and thermal model results, and perform a probabilistic analysis to determine the likelihood of successfully landing and operating on such locations for a quadrangular study area that bounds the 80°S parallel. In addition to water ice thermal stability, we consider factors relevant for the operation of solar‐powered landed spacecraft: visibility to the Earth, visibility to the sun, and local slope. For two scenarios representing sets of most‐ and least‐constrained landing site requirements, we find that circular landing ellipse diameters of ∼0.9 and 2.6 km, respectively, would allow to target available compliant terrains with 100% success. We quantify the reduction in success probability with increasing landing ellipse size. Further, we explore the distributions of geometric properties of compliant areas, and identify three sites of interest that support large areas of compliant terrain: near De Gerlache crater, near Shackleton crater, and Mons Mouton (informally named as Leibnitz‐β massif). This study is provided to support planning for future lunar missions. Plain Language Summary Researchers have identified areas near the lunar poles that receive occasional sunlight and could keep water ice and other resources stable over a long period of time. These spots are valuable for future lunar missions since they could provide solar power and possibly resources such as water for scientific study and on‐site use. To assess potential landing sites in the south polar region, we created a database combining remote sensing and thermal data set, then used it to calculate the likelihood of successful landing on accessible terrains with stable water ice conditions from the 80°S to the South Pole. The study looked at factors critical for solar‐powered landers: the terrain's visibility to Earth (for communication), sunlight access, and the slope of the ground. We analyzed two scenarios with different landing precisions. We found that landing areas with diameters of about 0.9 and 2.6 km could ensure a 100% success rate under the most‐ and least‐constrained scenarios, respectively. Larger landing areas decreased the success probability. We also mapped the physical characteristics of ideal areas and highlighted three promising locations near De Gerlache crater, Shackleton crater, and Mons Mouton. Key Points We identify intermittently sunlit areas that permit long‐term stability of sub‐surface water ice, and accessible by landed missions “Compliant terrains” in two scenarios range from 13,071 km² (least constrained) to 290 km² (most constrained) in the south polar region For areas ≥80°S, we recommend sub‐km landing precision for missions with success criteria involving exploration of lunar polar water ice

Abstract:

Astrobotic's Peregrine Mission-1 spacecraft experienced a propulsion system anomaly that prevented the lander from reaching the Moon. During the mission, several instruments operated successfully in cis-lunar space. Among them, the Peregrine Ion Trap Mass Spectrometer (PITMS) measured both the presence of outgassing water and nitrogen oxides traceable to the MON-25 oxidizer. We performed Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) studies of the oxidizer leak on Peregrine to characterize the gas diffusion from the leak to the instrument, mediated by inter-species collisions and gas–surface interaction. We conclude that the latter process was prevalent and that diffusion paths through Peregrine are necessary to explain the PITMS detections. Our DSMC study and estimation of Peregrine's outgassing rate suggest that, at the early stage of the mission, the spacecraft released water at a rate comparable to the Space Shuttle and at a much larger rate than typical spacecraft during science operations. This provides useful information for planning future operations of science instruments on commercial missions.

Abstract:

The Peregrine Ion Trap Mass Spectrometer (PITMS) was a mass spectrometer designed to measure lunar gases. PITMS flew on the first flight of Astrobotic’s Peregrine lander via the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program in 2024 January. After launch, the lander suffered a propulsion system anomaly that prevented the mission from reaching the Moon, but PITMS collected 80 high-quality spectra while in cislunar space. PITMS observed abundant outgassing products from the Peregrine lander, including water, MON-25 oxidizer from the propulsion system leak, and traces of combustion products. PITMS data help constrain the nature of the propulsion system failure: oxidizer molecular ratios show that the leak released molecules rapidly enough for them to fully dissociate, and the high observed abundances imply that the oxidizer traveled within the lander surfaces rather than jetting into space. The amount of water offgassed by the spacecraft is substantially more than other planetary spacecraft, so the PITMS results suggest that instruments flying in the CLPS paradigm need to consider lander cleanliness. Though not successful in measuring the native lunar exosphere, the PITMS results showcase the capabilities of a mass spectrometer on board a lunar lander, along with lessons in pragmatism and flexibility that would enable such an instrument to ultimately be successful in the CLPS initiative.

Abstract:

A laboratory study was performed using the Visible Oxford Space Environment Goniometer in which the broadband (350–1250 nm) bidirectional reflectance distribution functions (BRDFs) of two representative Apollo regolith samples were measured, for two surface roughness profiles, across a range of viewing angles—reflectance: 0–70°, in steps of 5°; incidence: 15°, 30°, 45°, and 60°; and azimuthal: 0°, 45°, 90°, 135°, and 180°. The BRDF datasets were fitted using the Hapke BRDF model to (1) provide a method of comparison to other photometric studies of the lunar regolith and (2) to produce Hapke parameter values which can be used to extrapolate the BRDF to all angles. Importantly, the surface profiles of the samples were characterized using an Alicona 3D® instrument, allowing two of the free parameters within the Hapke model, φ and θ ¯ $$ \overline{\theta} $$ , which represent porosity and surface roughness, respectively, to be constrained. The study determined that, for θ ¯ $$ \overline{\theta} $$ , the 500–1000 μm size‐scale is the most relevant for the BRDF. Thus, it deduced the following “best fit” Hapke parameters for each of the samples: Apollo 11 rough— w $$ w $$ = 0.315 ± 0.021, b $$ b $$ = 0.261 ± 0.007, and h S $$ {h}_S $$ = 0.039 ± 0.005 (with θ ¯ $$ \overline{\theta} $$ = 21.28° and φ = 0.41 ± 0.02); Apollo 11 smooth— w $$ w $$ = 0.281 ± 0.028, b $$ b $$ = 0.238 ± 0.008, and h S $$ {h}_S $$ = 0.032 ± 0.006 (with θ ¯ $$ \overline{\theta} $$ = 13.80° and φ = 0.60 ± 0.02); Apollo 16 rough— w $$ w $$ = 0.485 ± 0.155, b $$ b $$ = 0.155 ± 0.083, and h S $$ {h}_S $$ = 0.135 ± 0.007 (with θ ¯ $$ \overline{\theta} $$ = 21.69° and φ = 0.55 ± 0.02); Apollo 16 smooth— w $$ w $$ = 0.388 ± 0.057, b $$ b $$ = 0.063 ± 0.033, and h S $$ {h}_S $$ = 0.221 ± 0.011 (with θ ¯ $$ \overline{\theta} $$ = 14.27° and φ = 0.40 ± 0.02). Finally, updated hemispheric albedo functions were determined for the samples, which can be used to set laboratory measured visible scattering functions within thermal models.