How flat can you get? A model comparison perspective on the curvature of the Universe
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 397:1 (2009) 431-444
Abstract:
The question of determining the spatial geometry of the Universe is of greater relevance than ever, as precision cosmology promises to verify inflationary predictions about the curvature of the Universe. We revisit the question of what can be learnt about the spatial geometry of the Universe from the perspective of a three-way Bayesian model comparison. By considering two classes of phenomenological priors for the curvature parameter, we show that, given the current data, the probability that the Universe is spatially infinite lies between 67 and 98 per cent, depending on the choice of priors. For the strongest prior choice, we find odds of the order of 50:1 (200:1) in favour of a flat Universe when compared with a closed (open) model. We also report a robust, prior-independent lower limit to the number of Hubble spheres in the Universe, NU ≳ 5 (at 99 per cent confidence). We forecast the accuracy with which future cosmic microwave background (CMB) and baryonic acoustic oscillation (BAO) observations will be able to constrain curvature, finding that a cosmic variance-limited CMB experiment together with an Square Kilometer Array (SKA)-like BAO observation will constrain curvature independently of the equation of state of dark energy with a precision of about σ ∼ 4.5 × 10-4. We demonstrate that the risk of 'model confusion' (i.e. wrongly favouring a flat Universe in the presence of curvature) is much larger than might be assumed from parameter error forecasts for future probes. We argue that a 5σ detection threshold guarantees a confusion- and ambiguity-free model selection. Together with inflationary arguments, this implies that the geometry of the Universe is not knowable if the value of the curvature parameter is below |Ωκ| ∼ 10-4. This bound is one order of magnitude larger than what one would naively expect from the size of curvature perturbations, ∼10-5. © 2009 RAS.Map making in small field modulated CMB polarization experiments: Approximating the maximum likelihood method
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 393:3 (2009) 894-910
Abstract:
Map making presents a significant computational challenge to the next generation of kilopixel cosmic microwave background polarization experiments. Years worth of time ordered data (TOD) from thousands of detectors will need to be compressed into maps of the T, Q and U Stokes parameters. Fundamental to the science goal of these experiments, the observation of B modes, is the ability to control noise and systematics. In this paper, we consider an alternative to the maximum likelihood method, called destriping, where the noise is modelled as a set of discrete offset functions and then subtracted from the time stream. We compare our destriping code (Descart: the DEStriping CARTographer) to a full maximum likelihood mapmaker, applying them to 200 Monte Carlo simulations of TOD from a ground-based, partial-sky polarization modulation experiment. In these simulations, the noise is dominated by either detector or atmospheric 1/f noise. Using prior information of the power spectrum of this noise, we produce destriped maps of T, Q and U which are negligibly different from optimal. The method does not filter the signal or bias the E- or B-mode power spectra. Depending on the length of the destriping baseline, the method delivers between five and 22 times improvement in computation time over the maximum likelihood algorithm. We find that, for the specific case of single detector maps, it is essential to destripe the atmospheric 1/f in order to detect B modes, even though the Q and U signals are modulated by a half-wave plate spinning at 5 Hz. © 2009 RAS.Suzaku observation of a hard excess in 1H 0419 - 577: Detection of a compton-thick partial-covering absorber
Astrophysical Journal 698:1 (2009) 99-105
Abstract:
We present results from a 200 ks Suzaku observation of 1H 0419 - 577 taken during 2007 July. The source shows a strong excess of counts above 10 keV compared to the extrapolation of models based on previous data in the 0.5-10 keV band. The "hard excess" in 1H 0419 - 577 can be explained by the presence of a Compton-thick partial-covering absorber that covers 70% of the source. The Compton-thick gas likely originates from a radius inside of the optical broad-line region and may form part of a clumpy disk wind. The fluorescent Fe Kα luminosity measured by Suzaku is consistent with that expected from an equatorial disk wind. © 2009. The American Astronomical Society.The 2dF-SDSS LRG and QSO Survey: The spectroscopic QSO catalogue
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 392:1 (2009) 19-44
Abstract:
We present the final spectroscopic QSO catalogue from the 2dF-SDSS LRG (luminous red galaxy) and QSO (2SLAQ) survey. This is a deep, 18 < g < 21.85 (extinction corrected), sample aimed at probing in detail the faint end of the broad line active galactic nuclei luminosity distribution at z ≲ 2.6. The candidate QSOs were selected from SDSS photometry and observed spectroscopically with the 2dF spectrograph on the Anglo-Australian Telescope. This sample covers an area of 191.9 deg2 and contains new spectra of 16 326 objects, of which 8764 are QSOs and 7623 are newly discovered [the remainder were previously identified by the 2dF QSO Redshift Survey (2QZ) and SDSS]. The full QSO sample (including objects previously observed in the SDSS and 2QZ surveys) contains 12 702 QSOs. The new 2SLAQ spectroscopic data set also contains 2343 Galactic stars, including 362 white dwarfs, and 2924 narrow emission-line galaxies with a median redshift of z = 0.22. We present detailed completeness estimates for the survey, based on modelling of QSO colours, including host-galaxy contributions. This calculation shows that at g ≃ 21.85 QSO colours are significantly affected by the presence of a host galaxy up to redshift z ∼ 1 in the SDSS ugriz bands. In particular, we see a significant reddening of the objects in g - i towards the fainter g-band magnitudes. This reddening is consistent with the QSO host galaxies being dominated by a stellar population of age at least 2-3 Gyr. The full catalogue, including completeness estimates, is available on-line at http://www.2slaq.info/ . © 2008 RAS.The impact of thermally pulsing asymptotic giant branch stars on hierarchical galaxy formation models
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society: Letters 396:1 (2009) L36-L40