Ice-shelf damming in the glacial Arctic Ocean: dynamical regimes of a basin-covering kilometre thick ice shelf

Authors:

Johan Nilsson, Martin Jakobsson, Chris Borstad, Nina Kirchner, Göran Björk, Raymond T Pierrehumbert, Christian Stranne

Inferring probabilistic stellar rotation periods using Gaussian processes

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Blackwell Publishing Inc.

Authors:

R Angus, T Morton, S Aigrain, D Foreman-Mackey, V Rajpaul

Abstract:

Variability in the light curves of spotted, rotating stars is often non-sinusoidal and quasi-periodic --- spots move on the stellar surface and have finite lifetimes, causing stellar flux variations to slowly shift in phase. A strictly periodic sinusoid therefore cannot accurately model a rotationally modulated stellar light curve. Physical models of stellar surfaces have many drawbacks preventing effective inference, such as highly degenerate or high-dimensional parameter spaces. In this work, we test an appropriate effective model: a Gaussian Process with a quasi-periodic covariance kernel function. This highly flexible model allows sampling of the posterior probability density function of the periodic parameter, marginalising over the other kernel hyperparameters using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach. To test the effectiveness of this method, we infer rotation periods from 333 simulated stellar light curves, demonstrating that the Gaussian process method produces periods that are more accurate than both a sine-fitting periodogram and an autocorrelation function method. We also demonstrate that it works well on real data, by inferring rotation periods for 275 Kepler stars with previously measured periods. We provide a table of rotation periods for these 1132 Kepler objects of interest and their posterior probability density function samples. Because this method delivers posterior probability density functions, it will enable hierarchical studies involving stellar rotation, particularly those involving population modelling, such as inferring stellar ages, obliquities in exoplanet systems, or characterising star-planet interactions. The code used to implement this method is available online.

K2 photometry and HERMES spectroscopy of the blue supergiant rho Leo: rotational wind modulation and low-frequency waves

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society: Letters Blackwell Publishing

Authors:

C Aerts, DM Bowman, S Simon-Diaz, B Buysschaert, CC Johnston, E Moravveji, PG Beck, PD Cat, SA Triana, S Aigrain, N Castro, D Huber, T White

Abstract:

We present an 80-d long uninterrupted high-cadence K2 light curve of the B1Iab supergiant rho Leo (HD 91316), deduced with the method of halo photometry. This light curve reveals a dominant frequency of $f_{\rmrot}=0.0373$d$^{-1}$ and its harmonics. This dominant frequency corresponds with a rotation period of 26.8d and is subject to amplitude and phase modulation. The K2 photometry additionally reveals multiperiodic low-frequency variability ($<1.5 $d$^{-1}$) and is in full agreement with low-cadence high-resolution spectroscopy assembled during 1800 days. The spectroscopy reveals rotational modulation by a dynamic aspherical wind with an amplitude of about 20km s$^{-1}$ in the H$\alpha$ line, as well as photospheric velocity variations of a few km s$^{-1}$ at frequencies in the range 0.2 to 0.6 d$^{-1}$ in the SiIII 4567\AA\ line. Given the large macroturbulence needed to explain the spectral line broadening of the star, we interpret the detected photospheric velocity as due to travelling super-inertial low-degree large-scale gravity waves with dominant tangential amplitudes and discuss why $\rho$~Leo is an excellent target to study how the observed photospheric variability propagates into the wind.

LHS 1903 provides evidence for gas-depleted formation of planets around M-dwarfs

Authors:

Thomas Wilson, Anna Simpson, Andrew Collier Cameron, Ryan Cloutier, Vardan Adibekyan, Ancy Anna John, Y Alibert, Manu Stalport, J Egger, Andrea Bonfanti, Nicolas Billot, Pascal Guterman, Pierre Maxted, Attila Simon, Sergio Sousa, Malcolm Fridlund, M Beck, Anja Bekkelien, S Salmon, Valerie Van Grootel, Luca Fossati, Alexander Mustill, Hugh Osborn, Tiziano Zingales, M Hooton, Laura Affer, Suzanne Aigrain, Roi Alonso, G Anglada-Escude, Alexandros Antoniadis-Karnavas, T Barczy, David Barrado, Susana Barros, Wolfgang Baumjohann, T Beck, W Benz, Federico Biondi, Xavier Bonfils, Luca Borsato, Alexis Brandeker, Christopher Broeg, Lars Buchhave, Maximilian Buder, Juan Cabrera, S Carrazco Gaxiola, Sébastien Charnoz, David Ciardi, Karen Collins, Kevin Collins, Rosario Cosentino, Szilard Csizmadia, P Cubillos, Shweta Dalal, Mario Damasso, James Davenport, Melvyn Davies, Magali Deleuil, L Delrez, Olivier Demangeon, Brice-Olivier Demory, Victoria DiTomasso, Diana Dragomir, Courtney Dressing, Xavier Dumusque, David Ehrenreich, Anders Erikson, Emma Esparza-Borges, Andrea Fortier, Izuru Fukuda, Akihiko Fukui, Davide Gandolfi, Adriano Ghedina, Steven Giacalone, Holden Gill, Michaël Gillon, Y Gomez Maqueo Chew, Manuel Güdel, Pere Guerra, Maximilian Günther, Nathan Hara, Avet Harutyunyan, Yuya Hayashi, Raphaëlle Haywood, Rae Holcomb, Keith Horne, S Hoyer, Chelsea Huang, Masahiro Ikoma, K Isaak, James Jackman, Jon Jenkins, Eric Jensen, Daniel Jontof-Hutter, Yugo Kawai, Laszlo Kiss, Ben Lakeland, J Laskar, David Latham, Alain Lecavelier des Etangs, Adrien Leleu, Monika Lendl, J de Leon, Florian Lienhard, Mercedes López-Morales, Christophe Lovis, Michael Lund, Rafael Luque, D Magrin, Luca Malavolta, Aldo Fiorenzano, Andrew Mayo, Michel Mayor, C Mordasini, Annelies Mortier, Felipe Murgas, Norio Narita, Valerio Nascimbeni, Belinda Nicholson, Göran Olofsson, Roland Ottensamer, Isabella Pagano, Larissa Palethorpe, Enric Palle, Hannu Parviainen, Marco Pedani, Francesco Pepe, Gisbert Peter, Matteo Pinamonti, Giampaolo Piotto, Don Pollacco, Ennio Poretti, Didier Queloz, Sam Quinn, R Ragazzoni, N Rando, David Rapetti, F Ratti, Heike Rauer, Federica Rescigno, Ignasi Ribas, William Rice, George Ricker, Paul Robertson, Thierry de Roche, L Sabin, Nuno Santos, Dimitar Sasselov, Arjun Savel, Gaetano Scandariato, Nicole Schanche, Urs Schroffenegger, Richard Schwarz, Sara Seager, Ramotholo Sefako, Damien Ségransan, Avi Shporer, André Silva, Alexis Smith, Alessandro Sozzetti, Manfred Steller, Gyula Szabo, Motohide Tamura, Nicolas Thomas, Amy Tuson, Stéphane Udry, Andrew Vanderburg, Roland Vanderspek, J Venturini, Francesco Verrecchia, Nicholas Walton, Christopher Watson, Robert Wells, Joshua Winn, Roberto Zambelli, Carl Ziegler

Large Interferometer For Exoplanets (LIFE): I. Improved exoplanet detection yield estimates for a large mid-infrared space-interferometer mission

Authors:

Life collaboration, Sp Quanz, M Ottiger, E Fontanet, J Kammerer, F Menti, F Dannert, A Gheorghe, O Absil, Vs Airapetian, E Alei, R Allart, D Angerhausen, S Blumenthal, J Cabrera, Ó Carrión-González, G Chauvin, Wc Danchi, C Dandumont, D Defrère, C Dorn, D Ehrenreich, S Ertel, M Fridlund, A García Muñoz, C Gascón, A Glauser, Jl Grenfell, G Guidi, J Hagelberg, R Helled, Mj Ireland, Rk Kopparapu, J Korth, S Kraus, A Léger, L Leedjärv, T Lichtenberg, J Lillo-Box, H Linz, R Liseau, J Loicq, V Mahendra, F Malbet, J Mathew, B Mennesson, Mr Meyer, L Mishra, K Molaverdikhani, L Noack

Abstract:

One of the long-term goals of exoplanet science is the atmospheric characterization of dozens of small exoplanets in order to understand their diversity and search for habitable worlds and potential biosignatures. Achieving this goal requires a space mission of sufficient scale. We seek to quantify the exoplanet detection performance of a space-based mid-infrared nulling interferometer that measures the thermal emission of exoplanets. For this, we have developed an instrument simulator that considers all major astrophysical noise sources and coupled it with Monte Carlo simulations of a synthetic exoplanet population around main-sequence stars within 20 pc. This allows us to quantify the number (and types) of exoplanets that our mission concept could detect over a certain time period. Two different scenarios to distribute the observing time among the stellar targets are discussed and different apertures sizes and wavelength ranges are considered. Within a 2.5-year initial search phase, an interferometer consisting of four 2 m apertures covering a wavelength range between 4 and 18.5 $\mu$m could detect up to ~550 exoplanets with radii between 0.5 and 6 R$_\oplus$ with an integrated SNR$\ge$7. At least ~160 of the detected exoplanets have radii $\le$1.5 R$_\oplus$. Depending on the observing scenario, ~25-45 rocky exoplanets (objects with radii between 0.5 and 1.5 $_{\oplus}$) orbiting within the empirical habitable zone (eHZ) of their host stars are among the detections. With four times 3.5 m aperture size, the total number of detections can increase to up to ~770, including ~60-80 rocky, eHZ planets. With four times 1 m aperture size, the maximum detection yield is ~315 exoplanets, including $\le$20 rocky, eHZ planets. In terms of predicted detection yield, such a mission can compete with large single-aperture reflected light missions. (abridged)