Assessing Robustness and Bias in 1D Retrievals of 3D Global Circulation Models at High Spectral Resolution: A WASP-76 b Simulation Case Study in Emission
The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 990:2 (2025) 106
Abstract:
High-resolution spectroscopy (HRS) of exoplanet atmospheres has successfully detected many chemical species and is quickly moving toward detailed characterization of the chemical abundances and dynamics. HRS is highly sensitive to the line shape and position; thus, it can detect three-dimensional (3D) effects such as winds, rotation, and spatial variation of atmospheric conditions. At the same time, retrieval frameworks are increasingly deployed to constrain chemical abundances, pressure–temperature (P–T) structures, orbital parameters, and rotational broadening. To explore the multidimensional parameter space, we need computationally fast models, which are consequently mostly one-dimensional (1D). However, this approach risks introducing interpretation bias since the planet’s true nature is 3D. We investigate the robustness of this methodology at high spectral resolution by running 1D retrievals on simulated observations in emission within an observational framework using 3D global circulation models of the quintessential HJ WASP-76 b. We find that the retrieval broadly recovers conditions present in the atmosphere, but that the retrieved P–T and chemical profiles are not a homogeneous average of all spatial and phase-dependent information. Instead, they are most sensitive to spatial regions with large thermal gradients, which do not necessarily coincide with the strongest emitting regions. Our results further suggest that the choice of parameterization for the P–T and chemical profiles, as well as Doppler offsets among opacity sources, impact the retrieval results. These factors should be carefully considered in future retrieval analyses.Using Doppler Imaging to model stellar activity and search for planets around Sun-like stars
(2025)
Strict Limits on Potential Secondary Atmospheres on the Temperate Rocky Exo-Earth TRAPPIST-1 d
The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 989:2 (2025) 181
Abstract:
The nearby TRAPPIST-1 system, with its seven small rocky planets orbiting a late-type M8 star, offers an unprecedented opportunity to search for secondary atmospheres on temperate terrestrial worlds. In particular, the 0.8 R⊕TRAPPIST-1 d lies at the edge of the habitable zone (Teq,A=0.3 = 262 K). Here we present the first 0.6–5.2 μm NIRSpec/PRISM transmission spectrum of TRAPPIST-1 d from two transits with JWST. We find that stellar contamination from unocculted bright heterogeneities introduces 500–1000 ppm visit-dependent slopes, consistent with constraints from the out-of-transit stellar spectrum. Once corrected, the transmission spectrum is flat within ±100–150 ppm, showing no evidence for a haze-like slope or molecular absorption despite NIRSpec/PRISM’s sensitivity to CH4, H2O, CO, SO2, and CO2. Our observations exclude clear, hydrogen-dominated atmospheres with high confidence (>3σ). We leverage our constraints on even trace amounts of CH4, H2O, and CO2 to further reject high mean molecular weight compositions analogous to a haze-free Titan, a cloud-free Venus, early Mars, and both Archean Earth and a cloud-free modern Earth scenario (>95% confidence). If TRAPPIST-1 d retains an atmosphere, it is likely extremely thin or contains high-altitude aerosols, with water cloud formation at the terminator predicted by 3D global climate models. Alternatively, if TRAPPIST-1 d is airless, our evolutionary models indicate that TRAPPIST-1 b, c, and d must have formed with ≲4 Earth oceans of water, though this would not preclude atmospheres on the cooler habitable-zone planets TRAPPIST-1 e, f, and g.Simulating Intermediate Black Hole Mass Measurements for a Sample of Galaxies with Nuclear Star Clusters Using ELT/HARMONI High Spatial Resolution Integral-field Stellar Kinematics
Astronomical Journal American Astronomical Society 170:2 (2025) 124
Abstract:
Understanding the demographics of intermediate-mass black holes (IMBHs, MBH ≈ 102–105 M⊙) in low-mass galaxies is key to constraining black hole seed formation models, but detecting them is challenging due to their small gravitational sphere of influence (SOI). The upcoming Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) High Angular Resolution Monolithic Optical and Near-infrared Integral Field Spectrograph (HARMONI) instrument, with its high angular resolution, offers a promising solution. We present simulations assessing HARMONI’s ability to measure IMBH masses in nuclear star clusters (NSCs) of nearby dwarf galaxies. We selected a sample of 44 candidates within 10 Mpc. For two representative targets, NGC 300 and NGC 3115 dw01, we generated mock HARMONI integral-field data cubes using realistic inputs derived from Hubble Space Telescope imaging, stellar population models, and Jeans anisotropic models (JAM), assuming IMBH masses up to 1% of the NSC mass. We simulated observations across six near-infrared gratings at 10 mas resolution. Analyzing the mock data with standard kinematic extraction and JAM models in a Bayesian framework, we demonstrate that HARMONI can resolve the IMBH SOI and accurately recover masses down to ≈0.5% of the NSC mass within feasible exposure times. These results highlight HARMONI’s potential to revolutionize IMBH studies.Assessing robustness and bias in 1D retrievals of 3D Global Circulation Models at high spectral resolution: a WASP-76 b simulation case study in emission
(2025)