Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible: A declaration at the world modelling summit for climate prediction
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90:2 (2009) 175-178
Abstract:
Addressing the global climate change, the World climate Research Program (WCRP) held a World Modeling summit for Climate Prediction on 6-9 May 2008 in Reading, England, to develop a strategy in revolutionizing prediction of the climate. The summit was cosponsored by the World Weather Research Program (WWRP) and the International Geosphere-Biosphere Program (IGBP). The event has given emphasis on the simulation and prediction of the physical climate system. The summit tried to identify challenges which are grouped into following areas such as process-based model evaluation; data assimilation, analysis, and initialization; detection and attribution of climate events; and ensembles.A Spectral Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme and Its Impact on Flow-Dependent Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 66:3 (2009) 603-626
Decadal variability: Processes, predictability and prediction. ECMWF Tech Memo.
(2009) 591
Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model
Chapter in Stochastic Physics and Climate Modelling, Cambridge University Press (2009) 15
Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty. ECMWF Tech Memo.
(2009) 598