Effects of fluctuating daily surface fluxes on the time-mean oceanic circulation

Climate Dynamics Springer Nature 33:1 (2009) 1-18

Authors:

Balan Sarojini Beena, Jin-Song von Storch

Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible: A declaration at the world modelling summit for climate prediction

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90:2 (2009) 175-178

Authors:

J Shukla, R Hagedorn, B Hoskins, J Kinter, J Marotzke, M Miller, TN Palmer, J Sungo

Abstract:

Addressing the global climate change, the World climate Research Program (WCRP) held a World Modeling summit for Climate Prediction on 6-9 May 2008 in Reading, England, to develop a strategy in revolutionizing prediction of the climate. The summit was cosponsored by the World Weather Research Program (WWRP) and the International Geosphere-Biosphere Program (IGBP). The event has given emphasis on the simulation and prediction of the physical climate system. The summit tried to identify challenges which are grouped into following areas such as process-based model evaluation; data assimilation, analysis, and initialization; detection and attribution of climate events; and ensembles.

A Spectral Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme and Its Impact on Flow-Dependent Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System

JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 66:3 (2009) 603-626

Authors:

J Berner, GJ Shutts, M Leutbecher, TN Palmer

Decadal variability: Processes, predictability and prediction. ECMWF Tech Memo.

(2009) 591

Authors:

D Anderson, FJ Doblas-Reyes, MA Balmaseda, A Weisheimer

Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model

Chapter in Stochastic Physics and Climate Modelling, Cambridge University Press (2009) 15

Authors:

J Berner, FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer, GJ Shutts, A Weisheimer