Calibration-induced Systematics in SALT3 Training and Their Impact on Dark Energy Constraints from Stage IV Supernova Surveys
The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 1010:1 (2026) 50
Abstract:
In the coming years, the Vera Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (Rubin-LSST) and the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope’s (Roman) High Latitude Time Domain Survey (HLTDS) are expected to discover more than a million Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), several orders of magnitude more than current samples and with a tighter control on systematic uncertainties. One of the largest systematic uncertainties in cosmological analyses with SNe Ia is the accuracy of the spectrophotometric model for SNe Ia time series data, which depends on the photometric calibration of the surveys. To quantify the impact of this uncertainty, we analyze simulated Rubin-LSST and HLTDS data, perturb the photometric zero-points and filter mean wavelengths, and propagate these systematics to spectral model recovery, estimated distances, and dark energy Figure of Merit (FoM) based on the w0waCDM model. Zero-point shifts of 5 mmag and filter mean wavelength shifts of 5 Å lead to a ∼50% decrease in the FoM relative to a statistical-only case when calibration uncertainties are propagated only through light-curve fitting. The same calibration shifts applied only during model training produce a smaller ∼13% degradation. Contrary to previous analyses, calibration uncertainties in light-curve fitting dominate over those from model training. Their effect during light-curve fitting varies smoothly with redshift and is nearly degenerate with cosmology, preventing mitigation through self-calibration. Finally, we show that the FoM dependence on the size of the calibration uncertainties (in the range of expected sizes) is roughly linear.Identification of a Radio Counterpart to SN 2025ulz in the S250818k Localization Area
The Astrophysical Journal Letters American Astronomical Society 1009:2 (2026) L44-L44
Abstract:
The impact of flickering variability and magnetisation on the dynamics, stability and morphology of radio-loud AGN jets
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) (2026) stag1798
Abstract:
Abstract The physics governing the morphology of radio-loud AGN jets is not fully understood. We investigate how magnetization, flickering jet power and their interplay affects the morphology of radio galaxies. We present a grid of relativistic magnetohydrodynamic simulations using the PLUTO code covering constant and variable jets with two levels of magnetisation. We find that the constant high magnetisation jets can lead to highly asymmetrical cocoon morphologies, whilst the variable high magnetisation jet can exhibit a broken morphology, caused by a discontinuous jet beam. Our work highlights the importance of magnetisation and variability on the stability and resulting morphology of radio-loud AGN jets, suggesting both are significant factors in addition to jet power or environment. Furthermore, we show that the interaction between magnetisation and variability can lead to the development of localised kink instabilities along the jet beam. Finally, we discuss the effects of hydrodynamic mixing in low magnetisation jets and the role of viewing angle dependence in comparisons between our simulations and observed sources. To facilitate this comparison we present a library of simulated radio images at different times in the simulations and from various viewing angles, which highlight a diverse set of complex morphologies.Eccentric stellar-mass binary black holes: Population, detectability, and waveform analysis in the LISA and LIGO era
Physical Review D American Physical Society (APS) 114:6 (2026) 063036
Abstract:
Eccentric binary black holes (BBHs) formed through dynamical interactions can significantly contribute to gravitational wave (GW) detections. In this work, we present a simulated catalog of dynamically formed, stellar-mass BBHs in the local universe, incorporating contributions from the Galactic field (flyby interactions), Galactic nucleus (eccentric Kozai-Lidov evolution), and globular clusters (N-body interactions). Our results predict a wide, highly eccentric BBH population in the Milky Way, with source counts of ∼25, 9, 3, 1, and <1 for a 4-year LISA mission (∼36, 13, 5, 2, and 1 for a 10-year extended mission), for SNR>1, 3, 8, 20, and 50, respectively. Extending this model to cosmological populations, we show that different dynamical channels can produce distinct eccentricity distributions in the LVK band and can contribute hundreds of additional low-SNR mHz sources. Specifically, our model yields a merger rate of Γ∼9 Gpc-3 yr-1 and ∼150 extragalactic mHz BBHs with SNR>1. However, due to the lower mass and weaker GW signals of stellar-mass BBHs, this number declines sharply at higher detection thresholds (e.g., ∼1 for SNR>8). We further highlight the impact of eccentric BBH signals on the LISA global fit, showing that their individual harmonics can be independently detected in the Milky Way, and may mimic circular binaries with systematically biased chirp masses. Lastly, we show that post-Newtonian waveforms converge reliably for eccentric BBHs with masses of ≲103M⊙ in the mHz band. Overall, eccentric BBHs represent a prevalent and promising target for future space-based GW observatories.cuDART: a GPU-accelerated ray tracing code for generating synthetic observations of relativistic astrophysical sources
ArXiv 2609.09322 (2026)