The Visibility of the Ōtautahi–Oxford Interstellar Object Population Model in LSST

The Planetary Science Journal IOP Publishing 6:9 (2025) 214

Authors:

Rosemary C Dorsey, Matthew J Hopkins, Michele T Bannister, Samantha M Lawler, Chris Lintott, Alex H Parker, John C Forbes

Abstract:

With a new probabilistic technique for sampling interstellar object (ISO) orbits with high efficiency, we assess the observability of ISOs under a realistic cadence for the upcoming Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). Using the Ōtautahi–Oxford population model, we show that there will be complex on-sky structure in the pattern of direction and velocity revealed by the detected ISO population, with the expected enhanced northern flux complicating efforts to derive population parameters from the LSST’s predominately southern footprint. For reasonable luminosity functions with slopes of 2.5 ≤ qs ≤ 4.0, the most discoverable ISOs have Hr ≃ 14.6−20.7. The slope of the luminosity function of ISOs will be relatively quickly constrained by the characteristics of the LSST detected population, such as the distributions of perihelia, velocity at infinity, and discovery circumstances. Discoveries are evenly split around their perihelion passage and are biased to lower velocities. After their discovery by LSST, it will be rare for ISOs to be visible for less than a month; most will have mr ≤ 23 for months, and the window for spectroscopic characterization could be as long as 2 yr. While these probabilistic assessments are robust against model or spatial density refinements that change the absolute numbers of ISO discoveries, our simulations predict a yield of 6–51 asteroidal ISOs, which is similar to previous works and demonstrates the validity of our new methods.

Erratum: “A Novel Technosignature Search in the Breakthrough Listen Green Bank Telescope Archive” (2025, AJ, 169, 222)

The Astronomical Journal American Astronomical Society 170:3 (2025) 194

Authors:

Caleb Painter, Steve Croft, Matthew Lebofsky, Alex Andersson, Carmen Choza, Vishal Gajjar, Danny Price, Andrew PV Siemion

From a Different Star: 3I/ATLAS in the Context of the Ōtautahi–Oxford Interstellar Object Population Model

The Astrophysical Journal Letters American Astronomical Society 990:2 (2025) L30

Authors:

Matthew J Hopkins, Rosemary C Dorsey, John C Forbes, Michele T Bannister, Chris J Lintott, Brayden Leicester

Abstract:

The discovery of the third interstellar object (ISO), 3I/ATLAS (“3I”), provides a rare chance to directly observe a small body from another solar system. Studying its chemistry and dynamics will add to our understanding of how the processes of planetesimal formation and evolution happen across the Milky Way’s disk, and how such objects respond to the Milky Way’s potential. In this Letter, we present a first assessment of 3I in the context of the Ōtautahi–Oxford model, which uses data from Gaia in conjunction with models of protoplanetary disk chemistry and Galactic dynamics to predict the properties of the ISO population. The model shows that both the velocity and radiant of 3I are within the expected range. Its velocity predicts an age of over 7.6 Gyr and a high water mass fraction, which may become observable shortly. We also conclude that it is very unlikely that 3I shares an origin with either of the previous two ISO detections.

The revolution in strong lensing discoveries from Euclid

Nature Astronomy 9:8 (2025) 1116-1122

Authors:

Natalie EP Lines, Tian Li, Thomas E Collett, Philip Holloway, James W Nightingale, Karina Rojas, Aprajita Verma, Mike Walmsley

Abstract:

Strong gravitational lensing offers a powerful and direct probe of dark matter, galaxy evolution and cosmology, yet strong lenses are rare: only 1 in roughly 10,000 massive galaxies can lens a background source into multiple images. The European Space Agency’s Euclid telescope, with its unique combination of high-resolution imaging and wide-area sky coverage, is set to transform this field. In its first quick data release, covering just 0.45% of the full survey area, around 500 high-quality strong lens candidates have been identified using a synergy of machine learning, citizen science and expert visual inspection. This dataset includes exotic systems such as compound lenses and edge-on disk lenses, demonstrating Euclid’s capacity to probe the lens parameter space. The machine learning models developed to discover strong lenses in Euclid data are able to find lenses with high purity rates, confirming that the mission’s forecast of discovering over 100,000 strong lenses is achievable during its 6-year mission. This will increase the number of known strong lenses by two orders of magnitude, transforming the science that can be done with strong lensing.

Commensal Transient Searches with MeerKAT in Gamma-Ray Burst and Supernova Fields

The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 988:2 (2025) 227

Authors:

SI Chastain, AJ van der Horst, A Horesh, A Rowlinson, A Andersson, R Diretse, M Vaccari, RP Fender, PA Woudt

Abstract:

The sensitivity and field of view of the MeerKAT radio telescope provide excellent opportunities for commensal transient searches. We carry out a commensal transient search in supernova and short gamma-ray burst fields using methodologies established by S. I. Chastain et al. We search for transients in MeerKAT L-band images with integration times of 30 minutes, finding 13 variable sources. We compare these sources to the VLASS and RACS survey data, and examine possible explanations for the variability. Additionally, for one of these sources we examine archival Chandra ACIS data. We find that 12 of these sources are consistent with variability due to interstellar scintillation. The remaining source could possibly have some intrinsic variability. We also split the MeerKAT L band into upper and lower halves, and search for transients in images with an integration time of 8 s. We find a source with a duration of 8–16 s that is highly polarized at the lowest frequencies. This source is spatially coincident with a star detected by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite. We conclude that this source may be consistent with a stellar flare. Finally, we calculate accurate upper and lower limits on the transient rate using transient simulations.