Dr Adam Povey FRMetSoc FHEA

Abstract:

Optimal estimation retrieval is a form of nonlinear regression which determines the most probable circumstances that produced a given observation, weighted against any prior knowledge of the system. This paper applies the technique to the estimation of aerosol backscatter and extinction (or lidar ratio) from two-channel Raman lidar observations. It produces results from simulated and real data consistent with existing Raman lidar analyses and additionally returns a more rigorous estimate of its uncertainties while automatically selecting an appropriate resolution without the imposition of artificial constraints. Backscatter is retrieved at the instrument’s native resolution with an uncertainty between 2 and 20 %. Extinction is less well constrained, retrieved at a resolution of 0.1–1km depending on the quality of the data. The uncertainty in extinction is >15 %, in part due to the consideration of short 1 min integrations, but is comparable to fair estimates of the error when using the standard Raman lidar technique. The retrieval is then applied to several hours of observation on 19 April 2010 of ash from the Eyjafjallajökull eruption. A depolarising ash layer is found with a lidar ratio of 20– 30 sr, much lower values than observed by previous studies. This potentially indicates a growth of the particles after 12– 24 h within the planetary boundary layer. A lower concentration of ash within a residual layer exhibited a backscatter of 10Mm−1 sr−1 and lidar ratio of 40 sr.

Abstract:

Optimal estimation retrieval is a nonlinear regression scheme to determine the conditions statistically most-likely to produce a given measurement, weighted against any a priori knowledge. The technique is applied to three problems within the field of lidar data analysis. A retrieval of the aerosol backscatter and either the extinction or lidar ratio from two-channel Raman lidar data is developed using the lidar equations as a forward model. It produces profiles consistent with existing techniques at a resolution of 10-1000 m and uncertainty of 5-20%, dependent on the quality of data. It is effective even when applied to noisy, daytime data but performs poorly in the presence of cloud. Two of the most significant sources of uncertainty in that retrieval are the nonlinearity of the detectors and the instrument's calibration (known as the dead time and overlap function). Attempts to retrieve a nonlinear correction from a pair of lidar profiles, one attenuated by a neutral density filter, are not successful as uncertainties in the forward model eliminate any information content in the measurements. The technique of Whiteman et al. [1992] is found to be the most accurate. More successful is a retrieval of the overlap function of a Raman channel using a forward model combining an idealised extinction profile and an adaptation of the equations presented in Halldórsson and Langerholc [1978]. After refinement, the retrieval is shown to be at least as accurate, and often superior to, existing methods of calibration from routine measurements, presenting uncertainties of 5-15%. These techniques are then applied to observations of ash over southern England from the Eyjafjallajökull eruption of April 2010. Lidar ratios of 50-60 sr were observed when the plume first appeared, which reduced to 20-30 sr after several days within the planetary boundary layer, indicating an alteration of the particles over time.

Abstract:

The overlap function of a Raman channel for a lidar system is retrieved by nonlinear regression using an analytic description of the optical system and a simple model for the extinction profile, constrained by aerosol optical thickness. Considering simulated data, the scheme is successful even where the aerosol profile deviates significantly from the simple model assumed. Applicationto real dataisfound to reduce by a factor of 1.4-2.0 the root-mean-square difference between the attenuated backscatter coefficient as measured by the calibrated instrument and a commercial instrument. © 2012 Optical Society of America.

Abstract:

The overlap function of a Raman channel for a lidar system is retrieved by non-linear regression using an analytic description of the optical system and a simple model for the extinction profile, constrained by aerosol optical thickness. Considering simulated data, the scheme is successful even where the aerosol profile deviates significantly from the simple model assumed. Application to real data is found to reduce by a factor of 1.4 – 2.0 the root-mean-square difference between the attenuated backscatter coefficient as measured by the calibrated instrument and a commercial instrument.