Canonical Valuations and the Birational Section Conjecture

Abstract:

We develop a notion of a `canonical $\mathcal{C}$-henselian valuation' for a class $\mathcal{C}$ of field extensions, generalizing the construction of the canonical henselian valuation of a field. We use this to show that the $p$-adic valuation on a finite extension $F$ of $\mathbb{Q}_p$ can be recovered entirely (or up to some indeterminacy of the residue field) from various small quotients of $G_F$, the absolute Galois group of $F$. In particular, it can be recovered fully from the maximal solvable quotient. We use this to prove several versions of the birational section conjecture for varieties over $p$-adic fields.

Climate SPHINX: evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in climate simulations

Geoscientific Model Development European Geosciences Union

Authors:

Paolo Davini, Jost von Hardenberg, Susanna Corti, Hannah M Christensen, Stephan Juricke, Aneesh Subramanian, Peter AG Watson, Antje Weisheimer, Tim N Palmer

Abstract:

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> The Climate SPHINX (Stochastic Physics HIgh resolutioN eXperiments) project is a comprehensive set of ensemble simulations aimed at evaluating the sensitivity of present and future climate to model resolution and stochastic parameterisation. The EC-Earth Earth-System Model is used to explore the impact of stochastic physics in a large ensemble of 30-year climate integrations at five different atmospheric horizontal resolutions (from 125 km up to 16 km). The project includes more than 120 simulations in both a historical scenario (1979–2008) and a climate change projection (2039–2068), together with coupled transient runs (1850–2100). A total of 20.4 million core hours have been used, made available from a single year grant from PRACE (the Partnership for Advanced Computing in Europe), and close to 1.5 PBytes of output data have been produced on SuperMUC IBM Petascale System at the Leibniz Supercomputing Center (LRZ) in Garching, Germany. About 140 TBytes of post-processed data are stored on the CINECA supercomputing center archives and are freely accessible to the community thanks to an EUDAT Data Pilot project. This paper presents the technical and scientific setup of the experiments, including the details on the forcing used for the simulations performed, defining the SPHINX v1.0 protocol. In addition, an overview of preliminary results is given: an improvement in the simulation of Euro-Atlantic atmospheric blocking following resolution increases is observed. It is also shown that including stochastic parameterisation in the low resolution runs helps to improve some aspects of the tropical climate – specifically the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the tropical rainfall variability. These findings show the importance of representing the impact of small scale processes on the large scale climate variability either explicitly (with high resolution simulations) or stochastically (in low resolution simulations).</p>

Continuous Structural Parameterization: A method for representing different model parameterizations within one structure demonstrated for atmospheric convection

Authors:

Francis Hugo Lambert, Peter Challenor, Neil T Lewis, Douglas J McNeall, Nathan E Owen, Ian Boutle, Hannah Christensen, Richard Keane, Alison Stirling, Mark J Webb, Nathan J Mayne

Divergent convective outflow in ICON deep convection-permitting and parameterised deep convection simulations (under review, as of Sept 2023)

Pre-print under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics, Copernicus

Authors:

Edward Groot; Patrick Kuntze; Annette K. Miltenberger; Holger Tost

Abstract:

Upper-tropospheric deep convective outflows during an event on 10th–11th of June 2019 over Central Europe are analysed from simulation output of the operational numerical weather prediction model ICON. Both, a parameterised and an explicit representation of deep convective systems are studied. Near-linear response of deep convective outflow strength to net latent heating is found for parameterised convection, while coherent patterns in variability are found in convection-permitting simulations at 1 km horizontal grid spacing. Furthermore, three hypotheses on factors that may affect the magnitude of the convective outflow are tested in the convection-permitting configuration: organisation of convection through dimensionality of the systems, organisation of convection through aggregation and convective momentum transport.

Convective organisation and aggregation induce a non-linear increase in the magnitude of deep convective outflows with increasing net latent heating, as shown by the confidence interval of the best fit between power transformed net latent heating and detected magnitude of outflows. However, mixed and weaker than expected signals are found in an attempt to detect the representation of dimensionality of the convection and its consequences for the divergent outflows with an ellipse fitting algorithm that describes the elongation of the intense (convective) precipitation systems. As opposed to expectations, convective momentum transport is identified to slightly increase the magnitude of divergent outflows in this case study.

Interpretable Deep Learning for Probabilistic MJO Prediction

Authors:

Antoine Delaunay, Hannah Christensen