Testing subhalo abundance matching with galaxy kinematics
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) (2026) stag1549
Abstract:
Abstract The rotation velocities of disc galaxies trace dark matter halo structure, providing direct constraints on the galaxy–halo connection. We construct a Bayesian forward model to connect the dark matter halo population predicted by ΛCDM with an observed sample of disc galaxies (SPARC) through their maximum rotation velocities. Our approach combines a subhalo abundance matching scheme (accounting for assembly bias) with a parameterised halo response to galaxy formation. When assuming no correlation between selection in the SPARC survey and halo properties, reproducing the observed velocities requires strong halo expansion, low abundance matching scatter and a halo proxy that strongly suppresses the stellar masses in satellite haloes. This is in clear tension with independent clustering constraints. Allowing for SPARC-like galaxies to preferentially populate low Vmax haloes at fixed virial mass greatly improves the goodness-of-fit and resolves these tensions: the preferred halo response shifts to mild contraction, the abundance matching scatter constraint relaxes to σSHAM < 0.30 dex at 1σ and the proxy becomes consistent with clustering. However, the inferred selection threshold is extreme, implying that SPARC galaxies occupy the lowest ~15 per cent of the Vmax, halo distribution at fixed Mvir. Moreover, even with selection, the inferred scatter remains in statistical disagreement with the low-mass clustering constraints, which are most representative of the SPARC galaxies in our sample. Our analysis highlights the advantage of augmenting clustering-based constraints on the galaxy–halo connection with kinematics and suggests a possible tension using current data.Discovery of 27 new Rotating Radio Transients by MeerTRAP
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society (2026) stag1538
Abstract:
We present the discovery of 27 new Galactic transients made by the commensal MeerTRAP single pulse search programme at the MeerKAT telescope. We determine the location of 14 of these discoveries with arcsecond accuracy by imaging the data captured in the dedicated transient buffer. A preliminary estimate of the period was made for 8 sources using the arrival times of several pulses detected by MeerTRAP. The periods of these transients range between 0.78 s and 4 s. For the previously published MeerTRAP source MTP0040 (PSR J1357−6507), we are able to provide the position and period using new pulses detected since it was reported. We also estimate the radio fluences and discuss the burst rates derived from the commensal search detections. The accurate image-domain localizations were used to conduct follow-up observations and timing analysis. Furthermore, some follow-up observations revealed ordinary pulsar-like pulsed behavior for four of the new sources, illustrating the blurred separation between rotating radio transients and canonical pulsars. We also present coherent timing solutions for 4 sources, providing insight into their rotational properties and their place within the Galactic neutron star population.Simulation-based inference for AGN jet population modelling: Towards more robust comparisons of black hole jet speeds
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) (2026) stag1515
Abstract:
Abstract We present the most complete modelling of the MOJAVE 1.5 Jansky Quarter Century active galactic nuclei (AGN) jet population, using likelihood-free simulation-based inference. Due to the complex impact of a flux-limit on observed AGN data sets, careful modelling of the parent population is required. In particular, when observing and fitting to multiple data distributions likelihoods become non-intuitive. Parameter degeneracies further complicate the problem and make it suitable for likelihood-free, simulation-based inference. This method relies on a normalising flow learning the likelihood surface or posteriors directly. We extensively validate the flow to show that previous parameter estimates for the AGN jet speed distributions underestimated parameter errors significantly and do not capture the non-gaussianity of the parameter posteriors. The new results enable a better statistical comparison to other AGN population studies, but also a more accurate comparison of supermassive black hole jets with their lower mass counterparts, X-ray binaries (XRB). We find that the AGN follow a Lorentz factor distribution of the shape N(Γ)∝Γb with $b= -1.32_{-0.19}^{+0.20}$. This slope is consistent with the XRB Lorentz factor distribution at 2σ. Simulation-based inference as a method is generally well-suited to many astrophysical problems, and this paper shows the convenient applicability of this methodology to parent population studies of jetted AGN with multiple observables specifically.Radio flares and X-ray hardening embedded in the long soft state of 4U 1543–475
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) (2026) stag1470
Abstract:
Abstract We present a comprehensive multi-wavelength study of the black hole X-ray binary 4U 1543–475 during its 2021 outburst, focusing on radio flaring episodes that are commonly interpreted as signatures of episodic jet production and are embedded within states when the X-ray emission was dominated by an accretion disk component. The radio monitoring reveals at least two discrete flares that coincide with periods of enhanced Comptonized X-ray emission. Broadband spectral modelling shows a significant decrease in the reflection-to-disk flux ratio (by a factor of ~3 − 4) during these episodes, consistent with a temporary change in the geometry of the inner accretion flow, although the data do not allow the causal sequence to be firmly established. Optical photometry exhibits variability that broadly tracks the reflection fraction, consistent with changes in the illuminating component. The accompanying spectral hardening indicates that the radio flares were associated with short-lived excursions toward a ”harder” state, departing from the soft state. X-ray timing analysis suggests that the radio flares may be associated with changes in the fractional rms variability; however, no consistent or unified pattern can be firmly established across different events. These results provide a multi-wavelength observational example of radio flaring activity in a black hole binary and highlight the complex interplay between accretion flow geometry, coronal emission, and jet-related phenomena.A Real-Time Jet Laboratory in Swift J1727.8-1613
Publications of the Astronomical Society of Australia Cambridge University Press (CUP) (2026) 1-28