Synchronisation of the equatorial QBO by the annual cycle in tropical upwelling in a warming climate

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society John Wiley and Sons Ltd 142:695 (2016) 1111-1120

Authors:

Kylash Rajendran, Irene M Moroz, Peter L Read, Scott Osprey

Abstract:

The response of the period of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) to increases in tropical upwelling are considered using a one-dimensional model. We find that the imposition of the annual cycle in tropical upwelling creates substantial variability in the period of the QBO. The annual cycle creates synchronisation regions in the wave forcing space, within which the QBO period locks onto an integer multiple of the annual forcing period. Outside of these regions, the QBO period undergoes discrete jumps as it attempts to find a stable relationship with the oscillator forcing. The resulting set of QBO periods can be either discrete or broad-banded, depending on the intrinsic period of the QBO.

We use the same model to study the evolution of the QBO period as the strength of tropical upwelling increases as would be expected in a warmer climate. The QBO period lengthens and migrates closer towards 36 and 48 month locking regions as upwelling increases. The QBO period does not vary continuously with increased upwelling, however, but instead transitions through a series of 2- and 3-cycles before becoming locked to the annual cycle. Finally, some observational evidence for the cyclical behaviour of the QBO periods in the real atmosphere is presented.

The solsticial pause on Mars: 1. A planetary wave reanalysis

ICARUS Elsevier 264 (2016) 456-464

Authors:

Stephen R Lewis, David P Mulholland, Peter Read, Luca Montabone, R John Wilson, Michael D Smith

Abstract:

Large-scale planetary waves are diagnosed from an analysis of profiles retrieved from the Thermal Emission Spectrometer aboard the Mars Global Surveyor spacecraft during its scientific mapping phase. The analysis is conducted by assimilating thermal profiles and total dust opacity retrievals into a Mars global circulation model. Transient waves are largest throughout the northern hemisphere autumn, winter and spring period and almost absent during the summer. The southern hemisphere exhibits generally weaker transient wave behaviour. A striking feature of the low-altitude transient waves in the analysis is that they show a broad subsidiary minimum in amplitude centred on the winter solstice, a period when the thermal contrast between the summer hemisphere and the winter pole is strongest and baroclinic wave activity might be expected to be strong. This behaviour, here called the 'solsticial pause,' is present in every year of the analysis. This strong pause is under-represented in many independent model experiments, which tend to produce relatively uniform baroclinic wave activity throughout the winter. This paper documents and diagnoses the transient wave solsticial pause found in the analysis; a companion paper investigates the origin of the phenomenon in a series of model experiments.

Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 6:4 (2016) 360-369

Authors:

Peter U Clark, Jeremy D Shakun, Shaun A Marcott, Alan C Mix, Michael Eby, Scott Kulp, Anders Levermann, Glenn A Milne, Patrik L Pfister, Benjamin D Santer, Daniel P Schrag, Susan Solomon, Thomas F Stocker, Benjamin H Strauss, Andrew J Weaver, Ricarda Winkelmann, David Archer, Edouard Bard, Aaron Goldner, Kurt Lambeck, Raymond T Pierrehumbert, Gian-Kasper Plattner

The EChO science case

Experimental Astronomy Springer Nature 40:2-3 (2015) 329-391

Authors:

Giovanna Tinetti, Pierre Drossart, Paul Eccleston, Paul Hartogh, Kate Isaak, Martin Linder, Christophe Lovis, Giusi Micela, Marc Ollivier, Ludovic Puig, Ignasi Ribas, Ignas Snellen, Bruce Swinyard, France Allard, Joanna Barstow, James Cho, Athena Coustenis, Charles Cockell, Alexandre Correia, Leen Decin, Remco de Kok, Pieter Deroo, Therese Encrenaz, Francois Forget, Alistair Glasse, Caitlin Griffith, Tristan Guillot, Tommi Koskinen, Helmut Lammer, Jeremy Leconte, Pierre Maxted, Ingo Mueller-Wodarg, Richard Nelson, Chris North, Enric Pallé, Isabella Pagano, Guseppe Piccioni, David Pinfield, Franck Selsis, Alessandro Sozzetti, Lars Stixrude, Jonathan Tennyson, Diego Turrini, Mariarosa Zapatero-Osorio, Jean-Philippe Beaulieu, Denis Grodent, Manuel Guedel, David Luz, Hans Ulrik Nørgaard-Nielsen, Tom Ray, Hans Rickman, Avri Selig, Mark Swain, Marek Banaszkiewicz, Mike Barlow, Neil Bowles, Graziella Branduardi-Raymont, Vincent Coudé du Foresto, Jean-Claude Gerard, Laurent Gizon, Allan Hornstrup, Christopher Jarchow, Franz Kerschbaum, Géza Kovacs, Pierre-Olivier Lagage, Tanya Lim, Mercedes Lopez-Morales, Giuseppe Malaguti, Emanuele Pace, Enzo Pascale, Bart Vandenbussche, Gillian Wright, Gonzalo Ramos Zapata, Alberto Adriani, Ruymán Azzollini, Ana Balado, Ian Bryson, Raymond Burston, Josep Colomé, Martin Crook, Anna Di Giorgio, Matt Griffin, Ruud Hoogeveen, Roland Ottensamer, Ranah Irshad, Kevin Middleton, Gianluca Morgante, Frederic Pinsard, Mirek Rataj, Jean-Michel Reess, Giorgio Savini, Jan-Rutger Schrader, Richard Stamper, Berend Winter, L Abe, M Abreu, N Achilleos, P Ade, V Adybekian, L Affer, C Agnor, M Agundez, C Alard, J Alcala, C Allende Prieto, FJ Alonso Floriano, F Altieri, CA Alvarez Iglesias, P Amado, A Andersen, A Aylward, C Baffa, G Bakos, P Ballerini, M Banaszkiewicz, RJ Barber, D Barrado, EJ Barton, V Batista, G Bellucci, JA Belmonte Avilés, D Berry, B Bézard, D Biondi, M Błęcka, I Boisse, B Bonfond, P Bordé, P Börner, H Bouy, L Brown, L Buchhave, J Budaj, A Bulgarelli, M Burleigh, A Cabral, MT Capria, A Cassan, C Cavarroc, C Cecchi-Pestellini, R Cerulli, J Chadney, S Chamberlain, S Charnoz, N Christian Jessen, A Ciaravella, A Claret, R Claudi, A Coates, R Cole, A Collura, D Cordier, E Covino, C Danielski, M Damasso, HJ Deeg, E Delgado-Mena, C Del Vecchio, O Demangeon, A De Sio, J De Wit, M Dobrijévic, P Doel, C Dominic, E Dorfi, S Eales, C Eiroa, M Espinoza Contreras, M Esposito, V Eymet, N Fabrizio, M Fernández, B Femenía Castella, P Figueira, G Filacchione, L Fletcher, M Focardi, S Fossey, P Fouqué, J Frith, M Galand, L Gambicorti, P Gaulme, RJ García López, A Garcia-Piquer, W Gear, J-C Gerard, L Gesa, E Giani, F Gianotti, M Gillon, E Giro, M Giuranna, H Gomez, I Gomez-Leal, J Gonzalez Hernandez, B González Merino, R Graczyk, D Grassi, J Guardia, P Guio, J Gustin, P Hargrave, J Haigh, E Hébrard, U Heiter, RL Heredero, E Herrero, F Hersant, D Heyrovsky, M Hollis, B Hubert, R Hueso, G Israelian, N Iro, P Irwin, S Jacquemoud, G Jones, H Jones, K Justtanont, T Kehoe, F Kerschbaum, E Kerins, P Kervella, D Kipping, T Koskinen, N Krupp, O Lahav, B Laken, N Lanza, E Lellouch, G Leto, J Licandro Goldaracena, C Lithgow-Bertelloni, SJ Liu, U Lo Cicero, N Lodieu, P Lognonné, M Lopez-Puertas, MA Lopez-Valverde, I Lundgaard Rasmussen, A Luntzer, P Machado, C MacTavish, A Maggio, J-P Maillard, W Magnes, J Maldonado, U Mall, J-B Marquette, P Mauskopf, F Massi, A-S Maurin, A Medvedev, C Michaut, P Miles-Paez, M Montalto, P Montañés Rodríguez, M Monteiro, D Montes, H Morais, JC Morales, M Morales-Calderón, G Morello, A Moro Martín, J Moses, A Moya Bedon, F Murgas Alcaino, E Oliva, G Orton, F Palla, M Pancrazzi, E Pantin, V Parmentier, H Parviainen, KY Peña Ramírez, J Peralta, S Perez-Hoyos, R Petrov, S Pezzuto, R Pietrzak, E Pilat-Lohinger, N Piskunov, R Prinja, L Prisinzano, I Polichtchouk, E Poretti, A Radioti, AA Ramos, T Rank-Lüftinger, P Read, K Readorn, R Rebolo López, J Rebordão, M Rengel, L Rezac, M Rocchetto, F Rodler, VJ Sánchez Béjar, A Sanchez Lavega, E Sanromá, N Santos, J Sanz Forcada, G Scandariato, F-X Schmider, A Scholz, S Scuderi, J Sethenadh, S Shore, A Showman, B Sicardy, P Sitek, A Smith, L Soret, S Sousa, A Stiepen, M Stolarski, G Strazzulla, HM Tabernero, P Tanga, M Tecsa, J Temple, L Terenzi, M Tessenyi, L Testi, S Thompson, H Thrastarson, BW Tingley, M Trifoglio, J Martín Torres, A Tozzi, D Turrini, R Varley, F Vakili, M de Val-Borro, ML Valdivieso, O Venot, E Villaver, S Vinatier, S Viti, I Waldmann, D Waltham, D Ward-Thompson, R Waters, C Watkins, D Watson, P Wawer, A Wawrzaszk, G White, T Widemann, W Winek, T Wiśniowski, R Yelle, Y Yung, SN Yurchenko

The physics of Martian weather and climate: a review

Reports on Progress in Physics IOP Publishing 78:12 (2015) 125901

Authors:

Peter Read, Stephen R Lewis, David P Mulholland

Abstract:

The planet Mars hosts an atmosphere that is perhaps the closest in terms of its meteorology and climate to that of the Earth. But Mars differs from Earth in its greater distance from the Sun, its smaller size, its lack of liquid oceans and its thinner atmosphere, composed mainly of CO2. These factors give Mars a rather different climate to that of the Earth. In this article we review various aspects of the martian climate system from a physicist's viewpoint, focusing on the processes that control the martian environment and comparing these with corresponding processes on Earth. These include the radiative and thermodynamical processes that determine the surface temperature and vertical structure of the atmosphere, the fluid dynamics of its atmospheric motions, and the key cycles of mineral dust and volatile transport. In many ways, the climate of Mars is as complicated and diverse as that of the Earth, with complex nonlinear feedbacks that affect its response to variations in external forcing. Recent work has shown that the martian climate is anything but static, but is almost certainly in a continual state of transient response to slowly varying insolation associated with cyclic variations in its orbit and rotation. We conclude with a discussion of the physical processes underlying these long- term climate variations on Mars, and an overview of some of the most intriguing outstanding problems that should be a focus for future observational and theoretical studies.