Solar system

Abstract:

© 2019, © 2019 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. To halt global warming, the emission of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere by human activities such as fossil fuel burning, cement production, and deforestation needs to be brought all the way to zero. The longer it takes to do so, the hotter the world will get. Lack of progress towards decarbonization has created justifiable panic about the climate crisis. This has led to an intensified interest in technological climate interventions that involve increasing the reflection of sunlight to space by injecting substances into the stratosphere which lead to the formation of highly reflective particles. When first suggested, such albedo modification schemes were introduced as a “Plan B,” in case the world economy fails to decarbonize, and this scenario has dominated much of the public perception of albedo modification as a savior waiting in the wings to protect the world against massive climate change arising from a failure to decarbonize. But because of the mismatch between the millennial persistence time of carbon dioxide and the sub-decadal persistence of stratospheric particles, albedo modification can never safely play more than a very minor role in the portfolio of solutions. There is simply no substitute for decarbonization.

Abstract:

Motivated by the Kepler K2 time series of Titan, we present an aperture optimization technique for extracting photometry of saturated moving targets with high temporally and spatially varying backgrounds. Our approach uses k-means clustering to identify interleaved families of images with similar point-spread function and saturation properties, optimizes apertures for each family independently, then merges the time series through a normalization procedure. By applying k-means aperture optimization to the K2 Titan data, we achieve ≤0.33% photometric scatter in spite of background levels varying from 15% to 60% of the target's flux. We find no compelling evidence for signals attributable to atmospheric variation on the timescales sampled by these observations. We explore other potential applications of the k-means aperture optimization technique, including testing its performance on a saturated K2 eclipsing binary star. We conclude with a discussion of the potential for future continuous high-precision photometry campaigns for revealing the dynamical properties of Titan's atmosphere.