Novel Physics of Escaping Secondary Atmospheres May Shape the Cosmic Shoreline
The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 998:2 (2026) 236
Abstract:
Recent James Webb Space Telescope observations of cool, rocky exoplanets reveal a probable lack of thick atmospheres, suggesting the prevalent escape of the “secondary” atmospheres formed after losing primordial hydrogen. Yet, simulations indicate that the hydrodynamic escape of secondary atmospheres, composed of nitrogen and carbon dioxide, requires intense fluxes of ionizing radiation (X-ray and extreme ultraviolet (XUV)) to overcome the effects of high molecular weight and efficient line cooling. This transonic outflow of hot, ionized metals (not hydrogen) presents a novel astrophysical regime ripe for exploration. We introduce an analytic framework to determine which planets retain or lose their atmospheres, positioning them on either side of the cosmic shoreline. We model the radial structure of escaping atmospheres as polytropic expansions—power-law relationships between density and temperature driven by local XUV heating. Our approach diagnoses line cooling with a three-level atom model and incorporates how ion–electron interactions reduce the mean molecular weight. Crucially, hydrodynamic escape onsets for a threshold XUV flux depend upon the atmosphere’s gravitational binding. The ensuing escape rates either scale linearly with XUV flux when weakly ionized (energy limited) or are controlled by a collisional–radiative thermostat when strongly ionized. Thus, airlessness is determined by whether the XUV flux surpasses the critical threshold during the star’s active periods, accounting for expendable primordial hydrogen and revival by volcanism. We explore atmospheric escape from the young Sun Mars and Earth, LHS 1140 b and c, and TRAPPIST-1 b. Our modeling characterizes the bottleneck of atmospheric loss on the occurrence of observable Earth-like habitats and offers analytic tools for future studies.
Novel Physics of Escaping Secondary Atmospheres May Shape the Cosmic Shoreline
2026 ApJ 998 236
Abstract:
Recent James Webb Space Telescope observations of cool, rocky exoplanets reveal a probable lack of thick atmospheres, suggesting prevalent escape of the secondary atmospheres formed after losing primordial hydrogen. Yet, simulations indicate that hydrodynamic escape of secondary atmospheres, composed of nitrogen and carbon dioxide, requires intense fluxes of ionizing radiation (XUV) to overcome the effects of high molecular weight and efficient line cooling. This transonic outflow of hot, ionized metals (not hydrogen) presents a novel astrophysical regime ripe for exploration. We introduce an analytic framework to determine which planets retain or lose their atmospheres, positioning them on either side of the cosmic shoreline. We model the radial structure of escaping atmospheres as polytropic expansions - power-law relationships between density and temperature driven by local XUV heating. Our approach diagnoses line cooling with a three-level atom model and incorporates how ion-electron interactions reduce mean molecular weight. Crucially, hydrodynamic escape onsets for a threshold XUV flux dependent upon the atmosphere's gravitational binding. Ensuing escape rates either scale linearly with XUV flux when weakly ionized (energy-limited) or are controlled by a collisional-radiative thermostat when strongly ionized. Thus, airlessness is determined by whether the XUV flux surpasses the critical threshold during the star's active periods, accounting for expendable primordial hydrogen and revival by volcanism. We explore atmospheric escape from Young-Sun Mars and Earth, LHS-1140 b and c, and TRAPPIST-1 b. Our modeling characterizes the bottleneck of atmospheric loss on the occurrence of observable Earth-like habitats and offers analytic tools for future studies.
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Physical Review Letters American Physical Society (APS) (2026)
The JWST Weather Report from the Nearest Brown Dwarfs. III. Heterogeneous Clouds and Thermochemical Instabilities as Possible Drivers of WISE 1049AB’s Spectroscopic Variability
Astrophysical Journal 997:2 (2026)
Abstract:
We present a new analysis of the spectroscopic variability of WISE J104915.57−531906.1AB (WISE 1049AB, L7.5+T0.5), observed using the NIRSpec instrument on board the James Webb Space Telescope (GO 2965; PI: Biller). We explore the variability of the dominant molecular bands present in their 0.6–5.3 μm spectra (HIrradiated Atmospheres. IV. Effect of Mixing Heat Flux on Chemistry
Astrophysical Journal 995:2 (2025)