Reconstruction of last millennium sea surface temperature on 1° grid using a random forest algorithm
Global and Planetary Change 258 (2026) 105279
Abstract:
Climate models and theoretical evidence show that the ocean drives climate from sub-decadal to centennial timescales through a variety of processes and their interactions. The range of direct climate observations, however, is too short to understand the exact role of the ocean in shaping observed and future climate variability on top of anthropogenic climate change. In the present study, we use a large set of paleoclimate records combined with a random forest algorithm to reconstruct a gridded dataset of sea surface temperatures since 850 C.E. to provide a better framework for the study of ocean surface variability. In line with modeling and paleodata studies, our reconstruction suggests that natural climate forcings have importantly influenced the last millennium climate variability. Our reconstruction also suggests that North Atlantic SST multidecadal variability influences Pacific SST on decadal timescales. However, the latter result is shown to be strongly dependent on background climate conditions. This new reconstruction offers a useful resource for testing the capabilities of climate models to reproduce the linkages between Atlantic and Pacific as well as the response to external forcings.
Environmental Influences on Deep Convective Upscale Growth Rate in Central Argentina From a Convection‐Permitting Simulation
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres American Geophysical Union 131:1 (2025) e2025JD044251
Abstract:
Plain Language Summary: Understanding the environments that support spatial growth of storms is crucial for predicting their impacts. This study uses a 6.5‐month‐long high‐resolution model simulation to examine the environments of simulated storm systems separated based on their rate of spatial growth. Results show that environments with a faster growth rate have greater moisture and instability. While vertical wind shear, defined as the change in wind speed and/or direction with height, is a well‐known factor in storm organization, its magnitude does not vary strongly with growth rate when shear is averaged over a large area, likely due to the large spread in values present. However, the direction of wind shear is likely an important factor in the rate of growth, and faster spatial growth is found for storms growing near the mountains when a favorable shear direction (parallel to the mountain range) is present. A low‐level jet, an area of stronger wind speeds elevated off of the surface, is found more frequently in environments with a faster growth rate and is likely an important mechanism that facilitates differences in thermodynamics and wind shear.Image calibration between the Extreme Ultraviolet Imagers on Solar Orbiter and the Solar Dynamics Observatory
Astronomy and Astrophysics 703 (2025)
Abstract:
To study and monitor the Sun and its atmosphere, various space missions have been launched in the past decades. With rapid improvement in technology and different mission requirements, the data products are subject to constant change. However, for such long-term studies as solar variability or multi-instrument investigations, uniform data series are required. In this study, we built on and expanded the instrument-to-instrument translation (ITI) framework, which provides unpaired image translations. We applied the tool to data from the Extreme Ultraviolet Imager (EUI), specifically the Full Sun Imager (FSI) on Solar Orbiter and the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). This approach allowed us to create a homogeneous dataset that combines the two extreme ultraviolet (EUV) imagers in the 174/171 Å and 304 Å channels. We demonstrate that ITI is able to provide image calibration between Solar Orbiter and SDO EUV imagers, independent of the varying orbital position of Solar Orbiter. The comparison of the intercalibrated light curves derived from 174/171 Å and 304 Å filtergrams from EUI and AIA shows that ITI can provide uniform data series that outperform a standard baseline calibration. We evaluate the perceptual similarity in terms of the Fréchet inception distance, which demonstrates that ITI achieves a significant improvement of perceptual similarity between EUI and AIA. The study provides intercalibrated observations from Solar Orbiter/EUI/FSI with SDO/AIA, enabling a homogeneous dataset suitable for solar cycle studies and multi-viewpoint investigations.nextGEMS: entering the era of kilometer-scale Earth system modeling
Geoscientific Model Development Copernicus Publications 18:20 (2025) 7735-7761
Abstract:
Abstract. The Next Generation of Earth Modeling Systems (nextGEMS) project aimed to produce multidecadal climate simulations, for the first time, with resolved kilometer-scale (km-scale) processes in the ocean, land, and atmosphere. In only 3 years, nextGEMS achieved this milestone with the two km-scale Earth system models, ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic model (ICON) and Integrated Forecasting System coupled to the Finite-volumE Sea ice-Ocean Model (IFS-FESOM). nextGEMS was based on three cornerstones: (1) developing km-scale Earth system models with small errors in the energy and water balance, (2) performing km-scale climate simulations with a throughput greater than 1 simulated year per day, and (3) facilitating new workflows for an efficient analysis of the large simulations with common data structures and output variables. These cornerstones shaped the timeline of nextGEMS, divided into four cycles. Each cycle marked the release of a new configuration of ICON and IFS-FESOM, which were evaluated at hackathons. The hackathon participants included experts from climate science, software engineering, and high-performance computing as well as users from the energy and agricultural sectors. The continuous efforts over the four cycles allowed us to produce 30-year simulations with ICON and IFS-FESOM, spanning the period 2020–2049 under the SSP3-7.0 scenario. The throughput was about 500 simulated days per day on the Levante supercomputer of the German Climate Computing Center (DKRZ). The simulations employed a horizontal grid of about 5 km resolution in the ocean and 10 km resolution in the atmosphere and land. Aside from this technical achievement, the simulations allowed us to gain new insights into the realism of ICON and IFS-FESOM. Beyond its time frame, nextGEMS builds the foundation of the Climate Change Adaptation Digital Twin developed in the Destination Earth initiative and paves the way for future European research on climate change.Southern Annular Mode persistence and westerly jet: a reassessment using high-resolution global models
Weather and Climate Dynamics Copernicus Publications 6:4 (2025) 1179-1193