Beecroft Institute for Particle Astrophysics and Cosmology

Abstract:

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p> We analyse the large-scale angular clustering of quasars in the <jats:italic>Gaia</jats:italic> - <jats:italic>unWISE</jats:italic> quasar catalog, <jats:italic>Quaia</jats:italic> , and their cross-correlation with maps of the lensing convergence of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB), to constrain the level of primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG). Specifically, we target the scale-dependent bias that would be induced by PNG on biased tracers of the matter inhomogeneities on large scales. The <jats:italic>Quaia</jats:italic> sample is particularly well suited for this analysis, given the large effective volume covered, and our ability to map out the main potential sources of systematic contamination and mitigate their impact. Using the universality relation to characterise the response of the quasar overdensity to PNG ( <jats:italic> p <jats:sub>ϕ</jats:sub> </jats:italic> = 1), we report constraints on the local-type PNG parameter   <jats:italic>f</jats:italic> <jats:sub>NL</jats:sub> of <jats:italic>f</jats:italic> <jats:sub>NL</jats:sub> = -20.5 <jats:sup>+19.0</jats:sup> <jats:sub>-18.1</jats:sub> (68% C.L.) by combining the quasar auto-correlation and its cross-correlation with CMB lensing in two tomographic redshift bins (or <jats:italic>f</jats:italic> <jats:sub>NL</jats:sub> = -28.7 <jats:sup>+26.1</jats:sup> <jats:sub>-24.6</jats:sub> if assuming a lower response for quasars, <jats:italic> p <jats:sub>ϕ</jats:sub> </jats:italic> = 1.6). The error on <jats:italic>f</jats:italic> <jats:sub>NL</jats:sub> can be further improved if the cross-correlation between the tomographic redshift bins is included. Using the CMB lensing cross-correlations alone, we find <jats:italic> f <jats:sub>NL</jats:sub> </jats:italic> = -13.8 <jats:sup>+26.7</jats:sup> <jats:sub>-25.0</jats:sub> and <jats:italic> f <jats:sub>NL</jats:sub> </jats:italic> = -15.6 <jats:sup>+42.3</jats:sup> <jats:sub>-34.8</jats:sub> for <jats:italic> p <jats:sub>ϕ</jats:sub> </jats:italic> = 1 and <jats:italic> p <jats:sub>ϕ</jats:sub> </jats:italic> = 1.6 respectively. These are the tightest constraints on <jats:italic> f <jats:sub>NL</jats:sub> </jats:italic> to date from angular clustering statistics and cross-correlations with CMB lensing. </jats:p>

Abstract:

One of the most pressing problems in current cosmology is the cause of the Hubble tension. We revisit a two-rung distance ladder, composed only of Cepheid periods and magnitudes, anchor distances in the Milky Way, Large Magellanic Cloud, NGC4258, and host galaxy redshifts. We adopt the SH0ES (Supernovae and H0 for the Equation of State of dark energy) data for the most up-to-date and carefully vetted measurements, where the Cepheid hosts were selected to harbour also Type Ia supernovae. We introduce two important improvements: a rigorous selection modelling and a state-of-the-art density and peculiar velocity model using Manticore-Local, based on the Bayesian Origin Reconstruction from Galaxies (borg) algorithm. We infer H0 = 71.7 ± 1.3 km s^-1 Mpc^-1, assuming the Cepheid host sample was selected by supernova magnitudes. However, the actual selection criteria are not clear, and other assumptions can increase H0 by up to one statistical standard deviation. The posterior has a lower central value and a 45 percent smaller uncertainty than a previous study using the same distance-ladder data. The result is also slightly lower than the supernova-based SH0ES inferred value of H0 = 73.2 ± 0.9 km s^-1 Mpc^-1, and is in 3.3σ tension with the latest cosmic microwave background results in the standard cosmological model. These results demonstrate that a measurement of H0 of sufficient precision to weigh in on the Hubble tension is achievable using second-rung data alone, underscoring the importance of robust and accurate statistical and velocity-field modelling.

Abstract:

Claims of local ($z \lesssim 0.05$) anisotropy in the Hubble constant have been made based on direct distance tracers such as Tully–Fisher galaxies and Type Ia supernovae. We revisit these using the CosmicFlows-4 Tully–Fisher W1 subsample, 2MTF and SFI++ Tully–Fisher catalogues, and the Pantheon+ supernova compilation (all restricted to $z < 0.05$), including a dipole in either the Tully–Fisher zero-point or the standardized supernova absolute magnitude. Our forward-modelling framework jointly calibrates the distance relation, marginalizes over distances, and accounts for peculiar velocities using a linear-theory reconstruction. We compare the anisotropic and isotropic model using the Bayesian evidence. In the CosmicFlows-4 sample, we infer a zero-point dipole of amplitude $0.087 \pm 0.019$ mag, or $4.1\pm 0.9$ percent when expressed as a dipole in the Hubble parameter. This is consistent with previous estimates but at higher significance: model comparison yields odds of $877\!:\!1$ in favour of including the zero-point dipole. In Pantheon+ we infer zero-point dipole amplitude of $0.049 \pm 0.013$ mag, or $2.3\pm 0.6$ percent when expressed as a dipole in the Hubble parameter. However, by allowing for a radially varying velocity dipole, we show that the anisotropic zero-point model captures local flow features (or possibly systematics) in the data rather than an actual linearly growing effective bulk flow caused by anisotropy in the zero-point or expansion rate. Crucially, inferring a more general bulk flow curve we find results fully consistent with expectations from the standard cosmological model.