False positives are common in single-station template matching

Seismica Seismica 2:2 (2023)

Authors:

Jack B Muir, Benjamin Fernando, Elizabeth Barrett

Abstract:

Template matching has become a cornerstone technique of observational seismology. By taking known events, and scanning them against a continuous record, new events smaller than the signal-to-noise ratio can be found, substantially improving the magnitude of completeness of earthquake catalogues. Template matching is normally used in an array setting, however as we move into the era of planetary seismology, we are likely to apply template matching for very small arrays or even single stations. Given the high impact of planetary seismology studies on our understanding of the structure and dynamics of non-Earth bodies, it is important to assess the reliability of template matching in the small-n setting. Towards this goal, we estimate a lower bound on the rate of false positives for single-station template matching by examining the behaviour of correlations of totally uncorrelated white noise. We find that, for typical processing regimes and match thresholds, false positives are likely quite common. We must therefore be exceptionally careful when considering the output of template matching in the small-n setting.

Long-term variability of Jupiter's northern auroral 8-μm CH4 emissions

Icarus Elsevier 406 (2023) 115740

Authors:

Ja Sinclair, R West, Jm Barbara, C Tao, Gs Orton, Tk Greathouse, Rs Giles, D Grodent, Ln Fletcher, Pgj Irwin

Abstract:

We present a study of the long term variability of Jupiter's mid-infrared CH4 auroral emissions. 7.7–7.9 μm images of Jupiter recorded by NASA's Infrared Telescope Facility, Subaru and Gemini-South over the last three decades were collated in order to quantify the magnitude and timescales over which the northern auroral hotspot's CH4 emission varies. These emissions predominantly sound the 10- to 1-mbar pressure range and therefore highlight the temporal variability of lower-stratospheric auroral-related heating. We find that the ratio of the radiance of the poleward northern auroral emissions to a lower-latitude zonal-mean, henceforth ‘Relative Poleward Radiance’ or RPR, exhibits variability over a 37% range and over a range of apparent timescales. We searched for patterns of variability in order to test whether seasonally varying solar insolation, the 11-year solar cycle, or short-term solar wind variability at Jupiter's magnetopause could explain the observed evolution. The variability of the RPR exhibits a weak (r < 0.2) correlation with both the instantaneous and phase-lagged solar insolation received at Jupiter's high-northern latitudes. This rules out the hypothesis suggested in previous work (e.g. Sinclair et al. 2017a, 2018) that shortwave solar heating of aurorally produced haze particles is the dominant auroral-related heating mechanism in the lower stratosphere. We also find the variability exhibits negligible (r < 0.18) correlation with both the instantaneous and phase-lagged monthly-mean sunspot number, which therefore rules out a long-term variability associated with the solar cycle. On shorter timescales, we find moderate correlations of the RPR with solar wind conditions at Jupiter in the preceding days before images were recorded. For example, we find correlations of r = 0.45 and r = 0.51 of the RPR with the mean and standard deviation solar wind dynamical pressure in the preceding 7 days. The moderate correlation suggests that either: (1) only a subset of solar wind compressions lead to brighter, poleward CH4 emissions and/or (2) a subset of CH4 emission brightening events are driven by internal magnetospheric processes (e.g. Io activity) and independent of solar wind enhancements.

Strategies for making geoscience PhD recruitment more equitable

Nature Geoscience Springer Nature 16:8 (2023) 658-660

Authors:

Benjamin Fernando, Sam Giles, Christopher Jackson, Anya Lawrence, Munira Raji, Rebecca Williams, Jenni Barclay, Louisa Brotherson, Ethny Childs, Jacqueline Houghton, Anjana Khatwa, Alicia Newton, Keely Mills, Francisca Rockey, Steven Rogers, Catherine Souch, Natasha Dowey

Abstract:

Admission to doctoral study is a crucial step in the academic pipeline, but discriminatory procedures can disproportionately impact students from ethnic minority backgrounds. We show how these policies contribute to inequity in the geosciences and propose strategies for change.

The Runaway Greenhouse Effect on Hycean Worlds

The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 953:2 (2023) 168

Authors:

Hamish Innes, Shang-Min Tsai, Raymond T Pierrehumbert

Cassini composite infrared spectrometer: correcting an offset error and refining the pointing parameters for the midinfrared detectors.

Applied optics 62:22 (2023) 5882-5888

Authors:

John C Pearl, Conor A Nixon, Donald E Jennings, Shahid Aslam, Simon Calcutt, Monte S Kaelberer, Nicolas Gorius, Richard K Achterberg, Paul N Romani, Gordon L Bjoraker, Michael Flasar

Abstract:

Based on preflight laboratory testing, an unexpectedly large positional offset between the two midinfrared (mid-IR) detector arrays in the Cassini composite infrared spectrometer (CIRS) instrument has been noted in the literature. A much smaller offset was measured in-flight. We investigate this discrepancy by estimating several spatial relationships among the detectors and comparing these results with three independent data sets. This enables us to infer the probable cause of this offset and to derive a new reduced value. We comment on the effect that this change could have on previously published results involving CIRS data. We also present a graphical display of the arrays projected on the sky as CIRS would see it.