The Simons Observatory: science goals and forecasts for the enhanced Large Aperture Telescope

Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics IOP Publishing 2025:08 (2025) 034

Authors:

M Abitbol, I Abril-Cabezas, S Adachi, P Ade, AE Adler, P Agrawal, J Aguirre, Z Ahmed, S Aiola, T Alford, A Ali, David Alonso, MA Alvarez, R An, K Arnold, P Ashton, Z Atkins, J Austermann, Susanna Azzoni, C Baccigalupi, A Baleato Lizancos, D Barron, P Barry, J Bartlett, Michael Jones, Adrien La Posta, Jamie Leech, Angela C Taylor

Abstract:

We describe updated scientific goals for the wide-field, millimeter-wave survey that will be produced by the Simons Observatory (SO). Significant upgrades to the 6-meter SO Large Aperture Telescope (LAT) are expected to be complete by 2028, and will include a doubled mapping speed with 30,000 new detectors and an automated data reduction pipeline. In addition, a new photovoltaic array will supply most of the observatory's power. The LAT survey will cover about 60% of the sky at a regular observing cadence, with five times the angular resolution and ten times the map depth of the Planck satellite. The science goals are to: (1) determine the physical conditions in the early universe and constrain the existence of new light particles; (2) measure the integrated distribution of mass, electron pressure, and electron momentum in the late-time universe, and, in combination with optical surveys, determine the neutrino mass and the effects of dark energy via tomographic measurements of the growth of structure at redshifts z ≲ 3; (3) measure the distribution of electron density and pressure around galaxy groups and clusters, and calibrate the effects of energy input from galaxy formation on the surrounding environment; (4) produce a sample of more than 30,000 galaxy clusters, and more than 100,000 extragalactic millimeter sources, including regularly sampled AGN light-curves, to study these sources and their emission physics; (5) measure the polarized emission from magnetically aligned dust grains in our Galaxy, to study the properties of dust and the role of magnetic fields in star formation; (6) constrain asteroid regoliths, search for Trans-Neptunian Objects, and either detect or eliminate large portions of the phase space in the search for Planet 9; and (7) provide a powerful new window into the transient universe on time scales of minutes to years, concurrent with observations from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory of overlapping sky.

The emergence and ionizing feedback of Pop III.1 stars as progenitors for supermassive black holes

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press 542:2 (2025) 1532-1543

Authors:

Mahsa Sanati, Jonathan C Tan, Julien Devriendt, Adrianne Slyz, Sergio Martin-Alvarez, Matteo la Torre, Benjamin Keller, Maya A Petkova, Pierluigi Monaco, Vieri Cammelli, Jasbir Singh, Matthew Hayes

Abstract:

Recent observations by James Webb Space Telescope reveal an unexpectedly abundant population of rapidly growing supermassive black holes (SMBHs) in the early Universe, underscoring the need for improved models for their origin and growth. Employing new full radiative transfer hydrodynamical simulations of galaxy formation, we investigate the local and intergalactic feedback of SMBH progenitors for the Population III.1 (Pop III.1) scenario, i.e. efficient formation of supermassive stars from pristine, undisturbed dark matter minihaloes. Our cosmological simulations capture the R-type expansion phase of these Pop III.1 stars, with their H-ionizing photon luminosities of generating H ii regions that extend deep into the intergalactic medium, reaching comoving radii of . We vary both the Pop III.1 ionization flux and cosmological formation environments, finding the former regulates their final , whereas the latter is more important in setting their formation redshift. We use the results from our radiation-hydrodynamics simulations to estimate the cosmic number density of SMBHs, , expected from Pop III.1 progenitors. We find , consistent with the results inferred from recent observations of the local and high-redshift universe. Overall, this establishes Pop III.1 progenitors as viable candidates for the formation of the first SMBH, and emphasizes the importance of exploring heavy mass seed scenarios.

The ALMA REBELS survey: [OIII]88μm line scans of UV-bright z ≳ 7.6 galaxies

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Oxford University Press (OUP) (2025) staf1287

Authors:

IF van Leeuwen, RJ Bouwens, JA Hodge, PP van der Werf, HSB Algera, S Schouws, M Aravena, RAA Bowler, P Dayal, A Ferrara, R Fisher, Y Fudamoto, C Gulis, T Herard-Demanche, H Inami, I de Looze, A Pallottini, R Smit, L Sommovigo, M Stefanon

Abstract:

Abstract We present the [OIII]88μm spectral scan results from the ALMA Large Program REBELS (Reionization Era Bright Emission Line Survey). The generally high luminosity of [OIII]88μm and ALMA’s Band 7 efficiency motivated its use for line scans of REBELS targets at z > 8. Spectral scans of four sources covered 326.4-373.0 GHz (z = 8.10-9.39), reaching [OIII]88μm luminosities of ∼7.6 × 108 L⊙ (5σ) for a FWHM of 400 km s−1. No credible lines are detected for the four targets. For REBELS-04, the non-detection is unexpected given the ≥92% coverage of the redshift likelihood distribution and its estimated SFR of 40 M⊙ yr−1. Possible explanations for the faint [OIII]88μm emission (assuming a FWHM of 100 km s−1) include high ISM densities (>ncrit ≈ 510 cm−3) and low ionization parameters (log10 Uion ≲ −2.5). For REBELS-37, a subsequent detection of [CII]158μm (z = 7.643) confirmed it lay outside our scan range. For REBELS-11 and REBELS-13, it remains unclear if the non-detection is due to the depth of the line scan or redshift coverage. REBELS-04 and REBELS-37 show significant (≥3.8σ) dust continuum emission in Band 7. If the photometric redshift of REBELS-04 is accurate, i.e., $z_{\mathrm{phot}}=8.57^{+0.10}_{-0.09}$ or $z_{\mathrm{phot}}=8.43^{+0.10}_{-0.10}$ accounting for additional neutral hydrogen in the circumgalactic medium, REBELS-04 would constitute the most distant dust-detected galaxy identified with ALMA to date. Additional Band 6 dust observations of REBELS-37 constrain the shape of the far-IR SED, ruling out cold dust temperatures (≲ 28 K) at 3σ. Further insight into these galaxies will require spectroscopic redshifts and deeper multi-band dust observations.

Avoiding lensing bias in cosmic shear analysis

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 541:4 (2025) 3549-3560

Authors:

CAJ Duncan, ML Brown

Abstract:

We show, using the pseudo-Cl technique, how to estimate cosmic shear and galaxy–galaxy lensing power spectra that are insensitive to the effects of multiple sources of lensing bias including source-lens clustering, magnification bias, and obscuration effects. All of these effects are of significant concern for ongoing and near-future Stage-IV cosmic shear surveys. Their common attribute is that they all introduce a cosmological dependence into the selection of the galaxy shear sample. Here, we show how a simple adaptation of the pseudo-Cl method can help to suppress these biases to negligible levels in a model-independent way. Our approach is based on making pixelized maps of the shear field and then using a uniform weighting of those shear maps when extracting power spectra. To produce unbiased measurements, the weighting scheme must be independent of the cosmological signal, which makes the commonly used inverse-variance weighting scheme unsuitable for cosmic shear measurements. We demonstrate this explicitly. A frequently cited motivation for using inverse-variance weights is to minimize the errors on the resultant power spectra. We find that, for a Stage-IV-like survey configuration, this motivation is not compelling: the precision of power spectra recovered from uniform-weighted maps is only very slightly degraded compared to those recovered from an inverse-variance analysis, and we predict no degradation in cosmological parameter constraints. We suggest that other 2-point statistics, such as real-space correlation functions, can be rendered equally robust to these lensing biases by applying those estimators to pixelized shear maps using a uniform weighting scheme.

Consistencies and inconsistencies in redshift-independent distances

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 541:2 (2025) 671-686

Authors:

JA Nájera, H Desmond

Abstract:

Redshift-independent distances underpin much of astrophysics, and there exists a plethora of methods to estimate them. However, the extent to which the distances they imply are consistent, while crucial for the integrity of the distance ladder, has been little explored. We construct a statistical framework to assess both internal (between measurements with the same method) and external (between method) consistency by comparing differences between distances to their quoted statistical uncertainties in the National Aeronautics and Space Administration/Infrared Processing and Analysis Center (NASA/IPAC) Extragalactic Data base of Distances (NED-D). 66 of the 76 indicators in NED-D are amenable to a consistency test by having at least two measurements to the same galaxy or at least one measurement to a galaxy also measured by another method. We find that only 12 of these methods produce self-consistent distances across literature determinations, of which seven are also consistent with distances to the same galaxies measured by all other methods. The most consistent six methods (M-stars luminosity, Novae, Masers, Globular Cluster Fundamental Plane, O- and B-type Supergiants, and BL Lac Luminosity) also give similar average distances to the mean of all indicators, while the 7th (Proper Motion) underestimates distances relative to the mean by 17.1 per cent. We also investigate consistency of Cepheid distances in the SH0ES 2022 catalogue, finding no evidence for unaccounted-for systematics. Our NED-D results imply that considerable work remains to obtain reliable distances by a multitude of methods, a crucial endeavour for constructing a multiply cross-checked and fully robust distance ladder.